NZCPR
WEEKLY ARCHIVE
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Dear Reader,
This week we reflect on
the 2013 Budget, our NZCPR
Guest Commentator Professor Norman
Gemmell, the Chair in Public Finance at Victoria University shares his
views, and our poll asks how you rate the Budget.
We
are still testing our new NZCPR website and will advise when we are
going live - our apologies for any glitches you might encounter.
Thanks again for your interest and support.
Kindest regards,
Dr Muriel Newman
NZCPR Founder and Director
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What’s new on
our Breaking Views blog…
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NZCPR Weekly:

BUDGET 2013
By Dr Muriel Newman
Whether we like it or not politics and politicians have an important
influence on our lives. Not only do they shape the social agenda and
impose regulations upon us, they control the purse strings to the state
sector which represents more than a third of our economy. Their annual
Budget reveals how well they are managing the economy.
While many countries around the world are still struggling with the
consequences of the global economic crisis, Budget 2013 confirms that New
Zealand is now one of the fastest growing economies in the developed
world. Although growth is expected to weaken as a result of the drought,
it is forecast to rise to a credible 3 percent in the longer term.
When National first took office in 2008, Treasury had forecast ten years
of deficits and rising debt. Now, five years later, the 2013 Budget shows
that the government is on track to deliver a surplus of $75 million in the
2014-15 year - despite the impact of the global financial crisis and the
financial costs and tragedies of the Christchurch earthquakes. Just three
budgets ago the deficit was $18.3 billion.
This turnaround has been achieved by not only keeping a tight rein on
government spending, but by creating the conditions for businesses to
expand and grow.
While the size of the state sector has been reduced down from an excessive
35 percent of the country’s economic activity two years ago, to a
projected 31 percent of GDP next year, it is still a long way above the
target 29 percent rate recommended by the 2025 Taskforce – the rate it
was in 2004-05 before the Labour Government embarked on their reckless
spending spree. Holding government spending and reducing waste should
remain priorities into the foreseeable future.
Creating the opportunity for business to grow and prosper should also be a
prime goal of any government, since the business sector is the nation’s
engine room providing employment and creating wealth. The more investment
businesses can attract, and the more efficiently they can operate, the
more profitable they will become, the faster wages will grow, and the more
tax will be paid to the government.
Budget forecasts show the unemployment rate falling to 5.2 percent by
2017, not only as a result of increasing economic activity, but also due
to the impact of the next tranche of welfare reforms. The additional
$188.6 million allocated to welfare over the next four years is expected
to cover the hiring of more case managers for a further 80,000
beneficiaries who are being subjected to work testing requirements. On top
of that there are incentive payments for sole parents who return to work
earlier than required, and special funding for external providers to work
with high-needs beneficiaries who will require intensive help to become
work ready.
The benefits of welfare reform cannot be over-stated and is something the
NZCPR has long been calling for. Until National embarked on the present
reforms under the able leadership of Paula Bennett, welfare had become a
soft touch and the favoured playground for socialist politicians. Changes
introduced by the Labour Government over the nine years they were in
office weakened the barriers to welfare: relatively few beneficiaries were
work tested, sanctions for non-compliance were weak, and fraud was rife.
There were endless stories of people abusing the system: workers who had
tired of their jobs cruised onto sickness benefits or the dole, and
unskilled young women - many still girls at school - all too casually
ended up on the Domestic Purposes Benefit instead of in employment.
Thankfully, the reforms have created disincentives, making the transition
into taxpayer funded dependency more difficult - but still not difficult
enough. Over time welfare should only provide support for those in genuine
need – long term security for those who cannot work for a living, and
shorter term support for those who are able bodied and looking for a job.
A key aspect of successful welfare reform is a buoyant job market. The
Budget contains many items that will generate jobs. Prime amongst these of
course is the rebuilding of Christchurch. It is difficult to comprehend
the scale of the task ahead, but at a cost of around $40 billion, it is
reported to be the largest rebuild undertaken anywhere in the world in
modern times.
In addition, on-going job opportunities are being created through the
government’s continued investment in infrastructure. This includes the
proposed extension to the Northern Motorway, which is a significant
investment in creating a modern transport network to open up the North to
better economic growth opportunities. As New Zealand’s worst performing
region, Northland is in urgent need of economic stimulus.
More growth opportunities will also be created as a result of the
government’s privatisation agenda. Most of the $1.7 billion in proceeds
from the 49 percent sale of Mighty River Power are being used for the
Future Investment Fund: $50 million for the broadband rollout to schools,
$94 million for KiwiRail, $80 million for irrigation infrastructure
projects, $426 for Christchurch hospitals, and $700 million for “new
contingencies” such as new schools, a new justice and emergency services
precinct in Christchurch, and support for the city’s tertiary
institutions.
The next State Owned Enterprise being put up for sale is Meridian Energy.
Meridian is the country’s largest power company, with seven hydro-power
stations and four wind farms, generating around a third of the country’s
electricity. The partial sale of the company, which was valued in 2011 at
$6.5 billion, is expected to provide a further $3.25 billion for the
Future Investment Fund. Over the six years, the asset sales programme is
expected to raise a total of $6 billion, of which $1 billion is earmarked
for spending on schools and $1 billion on hospitals. Treasury has
estimated that $780 million in interest costs will be saved as a result of
asset sales.
Budgets give a clear picture of government spending: Crown expenses stand
at $72.4 billion, a third of which will be used for social security and
welfare, 21 percent for health, 17 percent for education, 6 percent for
government services, 5 percent for law and order, 5 percent for finance
costs, 3 percent for transport and communications, and 10 percent for
conservation, defence, primary industries, and all of the other
ministerial votes.
Budgets also show the source of government funding: Core Crown revenue is
forecast at $68.4 billion, 41 percent of which comes from personal income
tax, 24 percent from GST, 15 percent from company tax, 3 percent from
other direct taxes, 8 percent from indirect taxes, 4 percent from interest
and dividends, and 5 percent from other revenue.
Over the next three years, Treasury expects income tax to increase by $2.6
billion, GST by $2 billion, and corporate tax by $1.6 billion – these
increases will be generated not by raising tax rates, but by an
improvement in economic growth, leading to higher business profits, higher
incomes and increased household spending.
The Budget shows that of the $27.8 billion in personal taxation collected
by the government, the lion’s share is paid by the 15 percent of New
Zealanders who pay the top rate of tax on earnings of $70,000 and over.
They contribute 57 percent of all income tax collected by the government.
That is, 15 percent of taxpayers pay 57 percent of the tax. The
Green-Labour coalition think that’s not enough – they say high income
earners are not paying their fair share!
Of all of the changes signalled in the budget, probably the most
controversial is those associated with housing. It is no secret that
concerns exist over house price inflation and the potential for a serious
“housing bubble”. House price inflation is caused when the demand for
housing outstrips supply. This is presently the case in the key Auckland
market, where only 5,000 or so new housing permits a year have been issued
over most of the last decade, when more like 9,000 were needed. As we
know, housing inflation could trigger the Reserve Bank to raise interest
rates, but in this environment there is a real risk that interest rate
increases would push up the value of our dollar (as overseas investors
would flock to buy the Kiwi to take advantage of the higher interest
rates) to the detriment of exporters and manufacturers.
This is a dilemma the government is attempting to address through two
initiatives announced in the Budget. The first is the establishment of
Housing Accords in Special Housing Zones where there are major problems
with housing affordability. These accords will be used to speed up council
consent processes and free up land for housing subdivisions until the
Resource Management Act and local government planning reforms are in
place. Secondly, the Reserve Bank has been given additional powers to help
rein in an over-heated housing market, including by restricting the number
of low deposit loans that banks can issue.
This week’s NZCPR Guest Commentator, Professor Norman Gemmell, Victoria
University’s Chair in Public Finance, picks up on this theme in his
budget analysis, Budget 2013 –
Good Policy or Good Luck?
“It is on housing affordability, and the new agreement with the Reserve
Bank, where the biggest new initiatives are to be found. Numerous studies
in recent years have encouraged the government to do more on the housing
supply-side and this Budget offers more specifics on how they intend to
speed up, facilitate and extend the supply of new houses.
“But for me, alarm bells ring with both their new demand-side
initiatives - a pilot scheme of low/no interest loans to low-income
borrowers, and increased rent subsidies. These always sound good as a help
for the poorest buyers but are a strange way to discourage house price
inflation. Namely, putting more money in the pockets of those trying to
rent or buy property. If these schemes are given a wider roll-out, expect
to see landlords reap much of the benefit as weekly rents rise in
response, and lower-end house prices rise as the newly enabled recipients
of the no-interest loans enter the market as house purchasers with greater
buying power.”
Policies designed to enable people who cannot afford a deposit to buy
their own home are risky at the best of times. It is schemes like this
that helped to create the global financial crisis in the first place. One
would have hoped that prudent policy-makers would have steered well clear
of such ill-advised schemes - in spite of the increasingly loud calls by
opposition parties and advocacy groups.
Similarly with Warrant of Fitness checks for rental houses - a policy long
advocated by the bureaucracy-lovers of the ‘left’ who haven’t
understood that such regulatory interventions achieve little other than an
increase in rents - in the end, hurting the very people such misguided
policies purport to be helping.
All in all, the 2013 Budget shows that while there is obviously much more
to do, National has been a prudent manager of th
e New Zealand economy
during some of the most challenging times this country has ever known.
What’s more, with the Australian economy turning from a forecast surplus
to a A$20 billion deficit, many Kiwis who moved there for greater
opportunity, may well find themselves attracted back home - bringing with
them the talents and skills that New Zealand will desperately need as we
move towards the brighter future that is being signalled.
THIS
WEEK’S POLL ASKS:
On
a scale of 1 to 10 (10 being better than 1), how do you rate the
government's 2013 Budget?
Click HERE
to vote
*Read
this week's poll comments daily HERE
*Last
week 96% of voters supported
the idea of our politicians being guided by Singapore's success
...
read the comments HERE
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NZCPR Guest
Commentary: 
BUDGET
2013 - Good Policy or Good Luck?
By Professor Norman Gemmell
“Is
Budget 2013 different? At first sight it all sounds very familiar:
maintaining fiscal prudence by responsibly managing the government
finances, whilst trying to wring every last ounce of efficiency from
restricted public spending. The economic headwinds may be abating with
forecasts starting to look more optimistic, but this is a government still
imposing strict limits on its expenditure growth. Getting the
government’s books back into surplus may sound like the proverbial
‘stuck record’, but there can be no doubt that anything else would be
a risky strategy in this ‘new world’ where financial markets no longer
believe that lending to indebted national governments is a riskless
business.”
...
read the full paper HERE
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___________________________________________________
New Zealand Centre for
Political Research
PO Box 984 WHANGAREI
Ph: 09-434-3836, Fax: 09 434-4224, Mob: 021-800-111
muriel@nzcpr.com
www.nzcpr.com
To unsubscribe from the NZCPR mailing list, send
this email - but don't forget to reply to the confirmation message.
If you are having problems unsubscribing, please email admin@nzcpr.com
with "Unsubscribe" in the subject line.
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with "Address Change" in the subject line,
advising the new address to be added and the old one to be removed.
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Dear Reader,
This
week we reflect on the country's economic performance ahead of the
Budget, our NZCPR Guest Commentator is Dr Henri Ghesquiere, a former IMF
Director, who shares with us the secrets of success of Singapore, and
our poll asks whether you think NZ can learn from Singapore.
*Last
week we suggested that readers concerned about the New
Zealand Geographic Board's proposal to change the names of the North and
South Islands should send in submissions. Since many people had trouble
with the website submission forms, we would like to advise that
submissions can be made directly to the Board – either by email to nzgbsubmissions@linz.govt.nz
or by post to the Secretary of the New Zealand Geographic Board,
PO Box 5501
,
Wellington
6145. In your submissions you should explain whether you are in
favour or opposed to the name change proposals and include reasons to
support your views.
*We
are still testing our new NZCPR website and will advise when we are
going live - our apologies for any glitches you might encounter.
Thanks again for your interest and support.
Kindest regards,

Dr Muriel Newman
NZCPR Founder and Director
|
What’s new on
our Breaking Views blog…
|
|
NZCPR Weekly:

LESSONS FROM SINGAPORE
By Dr Muriel Newman
Thursday
is budget day, the day when the government outlines their economic plan
for the country for the next twelve months. It is also a time of
judgement on how well the economy has performed over the last year. In
National’s case, recent economic reports show that their belt
tightening has started to produce results.
When
National was elected into office in November 2008, the country had
already fallen into recession. Under the stewardship of a Labour
administration, the economy had stalled months ahead of the on-set of
the global financial crisis. The new government’s goal was to
rebalance the economy – reduce out-of-control government spending,
while protecting the most vulnerable New Zealanders from the hard edges
of the recession. An important part of that plan was a strong focus on
removing the barriers to growth - improving infrastructure and reducing
the red tape and bureaucracy that was undermining business confidence
and holding back progress.
While
the Christchurch earthquakes had a massive impact on the government’s
progress, National’s plan does appear to be working. The country is on
track for a return to surplus by 2014-15, the tax take is higher than
expected, unemployment is lower, there are more jobs, and higher growth.
Treasury
reports are positive - our economy grew by 3 percent in 2012, only
marginally behind Australia, which, with its mining boom, grew 3.1
percent. Growth in the December quarter was 1.5 percent, the fourth
fastest amongst the countries monitored by the OECD, and behind only
China, Russia and Luxembourg.
Commodity
prices in March had the third-strongest rise on record, driven by dairy
prices and forestry, although the drought will have an adverse effect on
dairying returns in the future. In addition, manufacturing and services
industry indexes have both risen strongly, contradicting the claims by
Labour and the Greens that there is a crisis in manufacturing.
A
recent New Zealand Institute of Economic Research business opinion
survey showed confidence in the March quarter was at a 3-year high,
pointing to growth of around 3 percent a year. Our major trading
partners - Australia, China, the US, and Japan - have all reported
economic data ahead of expectations, and consumer confidence is growing.
The
Government’s accounts show that the deficit was $3 billion for the
first 8 months of the financial year, $556 million better than forecast
in December - reflecting good control of expenditure and rising
revenues. The Crown’s operating balance, which records change in the
value of all the government’s activities, including its investments,
recorded a surplus of $4.3 billion.
In
commenting on the performance of the New Zealand economy, Christine
Lagarde, the managing director of the International Monetary Fund said,
“All I can tell you is the IMF is very supportive of what is being
done by the Government …” and “If you look at the numbers, if you
look whether it is growth, whether it is employment, whether it is
inflation, whether it is debt, overall it is very stable and it is also
very promising … it’s certainly a lot better than what we see in
other parts of the world.” And she went on to say that the economic
policies are supportive of good fundamentals and “policies we believe
are sound and solid.”[1]
In
comparison, Ms Lagarde described the outlook in Europe as “still very
challenging”. Overall
EU unemployment has hit a new
record with more than 19
million jobless. This includes one in four
of the region’s 15 to 24 year
olds.
In Greece, a staggering 64.2 percent of young people were out of work in
February, and, in an attempt to turn this situation around, the monthly
minimum wage for under-25s has been slashed by a third. In Portugal,
where the economy is predicted to shrink by a further 2.3 percent this
year, and where civil service pay and sick leave benefits have just been
cut, more and more young people are leaving the country to find
employment abroad.
However,
there are some success stories in Europe. A special report “The secret
of their success” was recently published by the Economist,
identifying Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Switzerland as the top
five countries when assessed on a range of measures including global
competitiveness, ease of doing business, global innovation, corruption,
human development, and prosperity. Based on league tables produced by
the World Bank, the World Economic Forum, and a number of other
organisations, New Zealand was ranked a commendable sixth - first equal
for a lack of corruption, third for ease of doing business, fifth for
human development, thirteenth for global innovation, and 23rd
for global competitiveness.[2]
The
Nordic countries that are now topping the table can attribute their
success largely to the fact that over the years they were forced to
reduce government spending and balance their budgets. To do this they
lowered taxes, ensured greater flexibility in the workplace, encouraged
entrepreneurs, and restricted welfare entitlements, making far greater
use of the private sector to deliver social services.
The
Economist suggests that other nations could learn from the success of
these Nordic countries, and it certainly appears that the National
government has adopted a similar strategy through an economic growth
programme that includes reducing government spending, balancing the
budget, tightening up welfare, and encouraging the private sector.
Another
country with wisdom to share is Singapore. In the sixties, Singapore was
a very poor tropical island with few natural resources, a rapidly
growing population, substandard housing, and on-going conflict between
ethnic and religious groups. Thanks to the exceptional leadership of Lee
Kuan Yew, the country was able to transform itself in just a generation,
so that today it is one of the world’s highest ranked economies.
This
week’s NZCPR Guest Commentator is Dr Henri Ghesquiere, a former
Director of the International Monetary Fund's Singapore Regional
Training Institute - and author of Singapore's
Success: Engineering Economic Growth.
In his illuminating paper From
Third-World to First, Dr Ghesquiere outlines how Singapore achieved
its ambitious goal of moving from a third-world to first-world nation in
record time. He explains that that a number of factors strongly
influenced a young Lee Kuan Yew - as an 18 year old he witnessed the
brutality of the Japanese occupying forces against the civilian
population during World War II. He experienced the debilitating effects
of colonialism and ethnic strife, and he saw the political threat of the
communists, who wanted to turn Singapore into an Asian Cuba.
In
1959, at age 35, Lee Kuan Yew - by then a “brilliant
Cambridge-educated lawyer” - was elected prime minister of Singapore.
His goal was a future of shared prosperity and safety: “I wanted
Singapore to be a developed nation in the shortest time possible”.
Dr
Goh Keng Swee, the architect of Singapore’s economic strategy and Lee
Kuan Yew’s right hand man, explained, “We must strive continuously
to achieve economic growth. We should not be distracted by other
goals”.
Those
words “in the shortest time possible” and “single-minded focus”
can be attributed as holding the key to Singapore’s success. Their
economic and political strategy - and institutions - over the past five
decades have been shaped with that singular goal in mind: whatever
it would take to succeed.
Dr
Ghesquiere believes a crucial factor is the government’s budgetary
discipline - living within their means:
“In
Singapore total revenue in the Government budget is only 19 percent of
GDP. But
government expenditure is even lower. Frugality
inspires the Government to manage its expenditures rigorously.
Singapore’s famous Jurong tropical bird park was created when a
finance minister rejected the proposal for a zoo. He
persuaded his Cabinet colleagues that feeding birds would be much less
expensive than feeding lions. Civil
service staffing is lean: the government does not act as employer of
first and last resort. Efficiency
is paramount: for
example, invoicing of services sold by private agents to government
entities is all electronic and centralized. Perfect
paperless records are available with minimal manpower. Singapore’s
budget is not burdened by generalized price subsidies for utilities or
energy products.
“Public
enterprises in Singapore tend to be consistently profitable. Many
are listed on the stock exchange and are partly in private hands. They
do not draw budgetary support for operating losses.
If systematically loss-making they would be liquidated or merged.
Singapore Airlines has long been ranked among the most admired companies
in the world. At one time, the government threatened to close it down if
management and unions failed to cooperate.
“Financial
sector oversight has been consistently alert. This has prevented the
socialization of bank losses that has aggravated fiscal deficits and
public debt levels elsewhere. Today
Singapore’s banks are among the best capitalized in the world.
“Accordingly,
despite relative low taxation, the government budget registers
surpluses, not deficits.
Consequently, whereas other countries have a public debt ratio in
some cases as high as 140 percent of GDP, Singapore has just the
opposite: net public assets possibly of a similar magnitude. Heavily
indebted governments face steep interest payments on the expenditure
side of their budget that pre-empt development outlays. The
Singapore government by contrast earns substantial returns on its net
assets, (conservatively estimated at perhaps 5 percent of GDP). These
resources boost the revenue side of the budget, allowing development
expenditure such as for infrastructure and education. The
government’s accumulated surpluses have been built the old-fashioned
way: over decades thanks to annual saving and the power of compounding. The
strong national balance sheet inspires confidence in entrepreneurs and
investors.”
In
his illuminating appraisal, Dr Ghesquiere explains the importance of
incentives in public policy - a low corporate tax rate of 17 percent
attracts companies and encourages them to create jobs, and personal
income tax with the highest bracket at 20 percent incentivises people to
work.
In
comparison, of course, New Zealand’s corporate tax rate is 28 percent
and our top personal tax rate is 33 percent. As tax competition forces
down tax rates, New Zealand’s corporate tax rate is becoming
increasingly uncompetitive – it is above the European average of 20.67
percent, above the EU average of 22.74 percent, above the Asian average
of 22.36 percent, above the OECD average of 25.4 percent, and above the
global average of 24.08 percent.[3]
Although
reducing corporate tax would be a very efficient way of boosting
business growth and job creation, the government has ruled out
significant tax cuts in the foreseeable future. They have stated that
their priority is to reduce debt - from a net 30 per cent of GDP to 20
per cent between 2017 and 2020, before tax cuts can be considered.
However, they have explained that they will continue to cut the cost of
a wide range of government fees and levies – the recent reduction in
the frequency of warrant of fitness tests is apparently just a start.
Thursday’s
Budget is not expected to contain any big surprises, but one hopes it
has a vision for a better New Zealand based on the roadmap provided by
the likes of Singapore.
THIS
WEEK’S POLL ASKS:
Do
you think our politicians should be guided by Singapore's model of
success?
Click HERE
to vote
*Read
this week's poll comments daily HERE
*Last
week 98% of voters opposed
the NZ Geographic Board's proposal to introduce Maori names for the
North and South Islands
...
read the comments HERE
FOOTNOTES:
1. Herald,
IMF
praises direction of NZ economy
2. Economist, The
secret of their success
3. KPMG, Corporate
tax rate table
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NZCPR Guest
Commentary: 
FROM
THIRD-WORLD TO FIRST: SINGAPORE'S SUCCESS
By Dr Henri Ghesquiere
“Gainful
employment is the fastest way out of poverty. Prolonged
unemployment has major economic, social and psychological costs. Unemployment
was a massive problem in 1959. Twelve
years later Singapore had full employment and labor scarcities started
to emerge. Voters rewarded
the ruling party at election time.
“Quality
education prepares tomorrow’s workers. Education
for all is heavily subsidized by the state. Singapore
students consistently score among the highest in international
comparison in particular in science and mathematics. The
Singapore math textbooks are now widely used in the United States. Quality
vocational schools prepare less academically inclined students to
careers in numerous services such as hairdressing or culinary
specialties. Skills training
and re-training of older workers is heavily emphasized and subsidized. In
this way they can continue to contribute in a rapidly evolving economy.
“Equal
opportunity is given to everyone to learn, to acquire skills and to
perform, regardless of whether one is a Malay, Chinese or Indian
Singaporean. The discipline
inherent in a merit-based system is combined with open access and a
level playing field according to one’s talent. This has contributed to
social cohesion in Singapore’s multi-ethnic society.
“The
city-state has impressive examples of upward social mobility as bright
poor children received scholarships that allowed them to realize their
full potential. This
contrasts with feudal societies where the elite would hold back
education from youngsters on their land holdings, lest power be eroded.
“Equal
opportunity does not mean equal outcomes. Different
outcomes are accepted based on different capabilities. Still
Singapore’s Ministry of Education helps the poor, disadvantaged,
bottom 0.1 percent of pupils who are unable to pass the basic primary
school leaving examination. Intensive
support includes hands-on vocational training, life-skills and
counseling to those with emotional difficulties. Substantial resources
are spent to prevent a permanent underclass from building. The
idea is to help the weaker runners improve rather than instruct the fast
ones to slow down.
“The
World Bank ranks Singapore number one in the world for ease of doing
business. Access to employment, education, and also to credit creates
opportunities for people to start new businesses and participate in
economic growth.”
...
read the full paper HERE
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___________________________________________________
New Zealand Centre for
Political Research
PO Box 984
WHANGAREI
Ph: 09-434-3836, Fax: 09 434-4224, Mob: 021-800-111
muriel@nzcpr.com
www.nzcpr.com
To unsubscribe from the NZCPR mailing list, send
this email - but don't forget to reply to the confirmation message.
If you are having problems unsubscribing, please email admin@nzcpr.com
with "Unsubscribe" in the subject line.
To change your address please email admin@nzcpr.com
with "Address Change" in the subject line,
advising the new address to be added and the old one to be removed.
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Dear Reader,
This
week we draw attention to the fact that the NZ 
Geographic Board is now accepting submissions on the North and South
Island name change proposals, we discuss the call for more race based
seats, and we share an iwi leader's claim that Maori are not the
indigenous people. Our NZCPR Guest Commentator is Independent
Constitutional Review Chairman David Round on why the Treaty should not
be part of a new constitution, and our poll this week asks whether you
support introducing Maori names for the North and South Islands?
*We
are now testing our new NZCPR website - it will be ready to go live
soon. Our apologies for any glitches you might encounter.
Thanks again for your interest and support.
Kindest regards,

Dr Muriel Newman
NZCPR Founder and Director
|
What’s new on
our Breaking Views blog…
|
|
NZCPR Weekly:
NAME CHANGES AND OTHER
CONTROVERSIAL MATTERS
By Dr Muriel Newman
Name
Changes

Last
month the New Zealand Geographic Board announced that it was opening a
public
consultation process to change the names of
the North and South Islands of New Zealand.
If the change goes ahead, the main islands of
New Zealand could be known by their existing names, their Maori names (Te
Ika-a-Māui and
Te Waipounamu), or both. If the biculturalists
get their way, the Maori names will become the official names, and no
doubt we will be reminded about that every night: “...and the forecast
for
Te Ika-a-Māui is light rain while Te Waipounamu will be cloudy with
intermittent showers…”
So
who is responsible for such a controversial move? It turns out that a
proposal to change the name of the South Island was put forward in 2004 by
a single Christchurch resident. The New Zealand Geographic Board thought
it was a good idea, and decided to include the North Island also. They
justified their decision on the basis that the English names the ‘North
Island’ and ‘South Island’ need to be formalised, along with
alternative Maori names. This has raised concerns that the Geographic
Board is doing more than responding to name-change concerns and is setting
the agenda.
The
ten members of the Board driving this name change proposal are Dr Don
Grant the Surveyor-General and Chairman, Basil Morrison and Jenni Vernon
nominated by the Minister for Land Information, Rikirangi Gage and
Matanuku Mahuika nominated by the Minister of Maori Affairs, Sir Tipene
O'Regan nominated by Ngai Tahu,
Professor Michael Roche nominated by the New Zealand Geographical
Society, David Barnes nominated by the New Zealand Federated Mountain
Clubs, Garrick Murfitt nominated by Local Government New Zealand, and Adam
Greenland a Land Information New Zealand representative.
As
an aside, it turns out that seven of these Board members’ terms are
expiring and nominations have been called - although this only appears to
have been carried by Maori news media. Radio NZ Te Manu Korihi News
reported that “Iwi are amongst those being asked to suggest candidates
for the New Zealand Geographic Board… nominations are being sought from
several parties, including the Minister of Maori Affairs, Te Runanga o
Ngai Tahu and Waikato Tainui. Nominations close on 23 May.” And
Tangatawhenua.com also reported the call for nominations, stating, “The
Minister must appoint: two persons as representatives of Maori who have
knowledge of tikanga Maori and te reo Maori and can provide advice in
relation to the naming of geographic features and Crown protected areas
for which tikanga Maori or te reo Maori is relevant… Please forward the
candidates CV; a statement from the candidate as to whether they have
financial, professional interests that might create a conflict and a
statement as to whether there is anything in their personal history that
might make candidacy inappropriate. For any queries, or an electronic
version of the CV form, please contact Cameron Munro (04) 460 0592; cmunro@linz.govt.nz.”
To
progress their name-change proposal, in 2009 the Geographic Board wrote to
iwi throughout the country to seek suggestions for Maori names for the
North and South Islands. A range of options were proposed - for the North
Island: Aotearoa, Aeheinomouwe, Eahei No Mauwe, Eaheinomauwe, and Te-ahi a
Maui; and for the South Island: Te Tumuki, Te Arapaoa, Tovypoenammu, Te
Wahi Pounamu, Te Waka-a-Maui, Te Waka o Aoraki, Tau Ihu o te Waka,
T’avai Poenammoo, Tavai Poenammoo, and Te Waipounamu.
The
Board ruled out Aotearoa for the North Island on the basis that it has
been popularised as the name for New Zealand. They (the Board) chose Te
Ika-a-Māui and Te Waipounamu.
Consultation
on these name changes is now open for public submissions until 5 July 2013
– full details on how to make a submission on the four proposed changes
‘North Island’ and ‘Te Ika-a-Māui’, ‘South Island’ and
‘Te Waipounamu’, can be found on the LINZ website HERE.
If the Geographic Board receives opposition to their name change
proposals, it will be up to the Minister to make the final determination.
The Minister in charge of the Geographic Board is Maurice Williamson.
While
the Geographic Board has the jurisdiction to change placenames within New
Zealand and the Ross Sea, only Parliament has the power to change the name
of our country. However, a campaign appears to be underway to change the
name of New Zealand to ‘Aotearoa New Zealand’ by stealth. Public
institutions like the Constitutional Advisory Panel have embraced the
campaign - if you can shed any light on who is driving it, by challenging
official bodies to ask under whose authority they are changing the
official name of New Zealand to ‘Aotearoa New Zealand’, please let us
know and we will share the information with readers…
More
Race-based Seats?
With
the Maori Party’s constitutional review well underway, various groups
are now calling for more constitutional rights. Just last week the Pacific
Island community was calling for dedicated seats in Parliament and on
local councils.
This
is what Auckland Councillor and former MP (National’s first Pacific
Island MP) Arthur Anae has to say: “Those promoting the idea of
guaranteed seats in Parliament and Local Bodies, for Pacific People need
their heads read. As I said recently on National Radio, who do they think
they are? How can one group of
people believe they are that superior that they deserve guaranteed seats
in the NZ political arena ahead of the close to 200 other Nationalities
that call NZ home. And if some equally irresponsible Government supports
this, do they then provide seats for the other ethnic groups. We complain
now about 120 seats - this would take it to 320 plus seats in Parliament.
Not only would the world think we are an easy target for immigration,
they’d think we were off the planet.
“The
reality is simply this - there are Samoans, Cook Islanders, Niueans,
Tongans, Fijians, Tahitians, New Caledonians, Solomon Islanders,
Vanuatuans, PNG and a whole lot more as we travel north. So tell me who
will represent Pacific seats from this group? The same applies for Asians,
Indians, Arabs, etc,etc. Maybe we should expand it further and demand
seats for religious groups - Catholics, Presbyterians, Anglicans, Mormons,
Muslims, Hindi etc etc. Wow we would have to build a bigger debating
chamber in the House and each of our Local Bodies. Get the message -
pretty absurd and ludicrous.”
So,
here's a thought - if the Pacific Island community believe they
have a case for reserved seats around the representation table then
perhaps the Dutch community does too! They could seek a name change to
Ngati Tulip to strengthen their case – which must be pretty strong
anyway given Abel Tasman was the first European to visit our shores and
there is a very large sea named in his honour. So perhaps the Dutch should
indeed have more rights than the rest of us…
Debates
or Indoctrination
The
future of the Maori seats in Parliament and in Local Bodies is one of the
more controversial aspects of the terms of reference of the constitutional
review. Yet there has been little open debate about them - even though
most New Zealanders would like to see them abolished. The problem is that
the Constitutional Advisory Panel - the body that is driving the
constitutional review - has shied away from controversy to such an extent
that open public meetings have been replaced by invitation-only functions.
One
such series of invitation-only events - funded by the Advisory Panel - was
held by YouthLaw to “educate” children as young as 12 about the
constitution: “YouthLaw will be hosting workshops for youth between the
ages of 12-24 about the constitution. This will be a great chance to meet
new people, to learn through games and activities about our systems of
government, and to have a say on the changes you’d like to see in the
future. Young people can make a submission in any way (e.g. video, spoken
word, song, artwork, etc) and share dreams for the future of Aotearoa.
Lots of great kai, prizes and a chance to WIN an IPAD!”
Even
the so-called debates have
mostly been a sham – especially those run by Te Papa and the Victoria
University Centre for Public Law. Well known commentators Chris Trotter
and Karl du Fresne have said calling them “debates” is absurd. One of
the only real debates was
hosted by the Maxim Institute last month. Our Independent Constitutional
Review Chairman, Canterbury University law lecturer David Round, spoke on
the place of the Treaty of Waitangi and its principles in a new
constitution for New Zealand - along with Constitutional Advisory Panel
member Sir Michael Cullen, and Tai Ahu, an assistant lecturer at Victoria
University’s law school.
In
his speech, which we are featuring as this week’s NZCPR Guest
Commentary, David Round explained that a constitution is an agreement on
how people are to be governed. He makes the point that for a constitution
to work, there has to be
agreement about what is in it, and the fact that there is widespread
disagreement over the role of the Treaty is proof in itself that the
Treaty and its so-called principles have no place in our constitution.
“If Treaty principles appear
in a new constitution for New Zealand, it will not be because of
agreement; it will be a case of a small vocal minority of the population
succeeding, through political machinations, in entrenching its own vested
interests in a constitution in the teeth of widespread popular opposition.
It would be to hijack our constitution; and that would be disastrous for
our country.”
David
makes another interesting point in his speech - that there is no principle
of justice that requires a small racially defined minority to have
privileged representation in New Zealand: “Maori are not
‘indigenous’ ~ they are simply a slightly earlier wave of immigrants,
arriving only about four hundred years before Tasman.”
Are
Maori Indigenous?
This
issue of whether Maori are ‘indigenous’ is a very controversial topic
these days, given its use by the Maori sovereignty movement as a key
mechanism to extract privilege from the government. However, some Maori
leaders are asking questions themselves. In a recent interview in the
Christchurch Press, Ngai Tahu leader Sir Mark Solomon is quoted:
“Another bugbear is what Solomon describes as a ‘sanitised
version of history’ still being taught in schools. For instance,
many are still being taught about Maori arrival in New Zealand on board a
‘great fleet’. ‘We
need to teach true histories. What is taught in schools about the history
of Maori is nonsense’,” Solomon said.[1]
But
Ngapuhi leader David Rankin, in an interview in March’s elocal
magazine, was much more forthright – I will conclude by quoting the
first part of this revealing interview in full:
elocal: “You recently voiced support for historians who
claim that New Zealand was settled much earlier than commonly accepted.
Are you merely supporting free speech and political incorrectness, or do
you genuinely believe that there were other civilizations here in NZ
before the arrival of Kupe circa 1250AD?”
David Rankin: “Let me just
start off and say this, Maori are not the indigenous people of Aotearoa
New Zealand. There were many other races already living here long before
Kupe arrived. I am his direct descendant and I know from our oral history
passed down 44 generations. I believe this needs to be investigated
further because every Maori community talks about Waitaha, Turehu and
Patupaiarehe. This goes hand-in-hand with the other research. As Maori, we
have come to a time of maturity where we need to debate these issues. I
want to get to a genuine consensus about this issue, although I think
academics want it to disappear. If we start talking about it and
investigating it, it’s an exciting opportunity to explore. My ancestors
like Kupe came to the Hokianga in search of other people. In the Waima
ranges, there was a pipi shelter on the mountains, and the kuia used to
talk about the fair skinned people up there. A lot of people identify as
Paniora (translated as Spaniard), indicating that the Portuguese and
Spanish washed up on ancient ships in Northland. In 2002, I went to the
Austronesian Leaders Conference in Taiwan and we discussed similarities
with Taiwanese Aborigines. We traced our origins and the Maori and
Polynesian connection to China. All the leaders such as myself and Matiu
Rei, Aborigines, Solomon islanders, Rapa Nui and Hawaiians were all
interested in early settlement theories. There is a lot of writing about
the whole ancestral link. Really, Maori didn’t navigate here, we came on
a tidal drift. Te Tai Tokerau is actually the tidal drift from the Tokelau
islands. When my ancestors arrived at the shores of Aotearoa, there were
people here to greet them. The question is: who are those people? It goes
hand-in- hand with our oral history. There are questions written by Ian
Wishart, Noel Hilliam and others that need to be answered.”
elocal:
“What do you think the ramifications would be if Maori appeared not to
be the indigenous people of New Zealand?”
David
Rankin:
“That would put all our treaty claims in question and our indigenous
rights at the UN. It would open up a whole can of worms. I do believe if
we start approaching it the right way other Maori would be keen to discuss
it. I think there has been a rot been allowed to set in to Maoridom since
the Lange government took power in the early 1980’s. In many ways, all
the changes that have taken place have taken the basic responsibility
away, their mana, from being true Maori, like working for a living,
educating themselves and their families, leading strong lives and
observing the laws of the land. If you are able to work then work! Help
your fellow Maori and Pakehas be successful in life. Being Maori and,
let’s face it, you only need to be 32% by government standards, does not
mean you need to take the easy way out and have your hand out. I have
never taken anything from the government, I am self made, strong and I say
stop the funding. Maori need to return to the warriors they once were. It
may be hard at first but intergenerational beneficiaries are embarrassing
to my culture.”[2]
THIS WEEK’S
POLL ASKS:
Do
you support the NZ Geographic Board's proposal to introduce Maori names
for the North and South Islands?
Click HERE
to vote
*Read
this week's poll comments daily HERE
*Last
week only 6% of voters believed
the Labour's
plan to make wealth creators less wealthy would improve the economy ...
read the comments HERE
FOOTNOTES:
1. The
Christchurch Press, The
Wisdom of Mark Solomon
2.elocal, Fearless!
Maori are not indigenous to Aotearoa New Zealand
|
|
NZCPR Guest
Commentary: 
THE
PLACE OF THE TREATY OF WAITANGI IN A NEW CONSTITUTION
By David Round
“As
I mentioned, this whole matter is not one on which there has ever been
any public debate. The entire Treaty-ification of our country, of which
this
constitutional proposal is the latest manifestation, is conducted without
any public input, because the Treatyists know that the public mood always
has been, and continues to be, firmly opposed to their attempts to create
an apartheid state.
“Because
that is what this will do. It is amazing that the cry of black people in
apartheid South Africa, and in the southern United States with the civil
rights movement, was always for integration into the wider community ~ but
the Treatyist demand is not for unity, but for separatism ~ and not even
‘separate but equal’, but rather ‘separate and superior’. To have
the Treaty mentioned in our constitution would be a major step towards the
disintegration of
New Zealand
. These people do not want to
be part of the same nation as the rest of us.”
... read the full article HERE
|
|
|
|
___________________________________________________
New Zealand Centre for
Political Research
PO Box 984 WHANGAREI
Ph: 09-434-3836, Fax: 09 434-4224, Mob: 021-800-111
muriel@nzcpr.com
www.nzcpr.com
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Dear Reader,
This
week we look at some of the misconceptions
surrounding the poverty debate, our NZCPR Guest Commentator Kristian
Niemietz from the British -based Institute for Economic Affairs shares
his market-based poverty measure, and this week's
poll asks whether Labour's plan to make wealth creators less wealthy
will improve the economy.
*The
Independent Constitutional Review
facebook page is very informative and active.
The link is HERE.
Why not check it out and join
in the debate?
*The
transition to the new NZCPR website is continuing - our apologies for
any glitches you
might encounter.
Thanks again for your interest and support.
Kindest regards,

Dr Muriel Newman
NZCPR Founder and Director
|
What’s new on
our Breaking Views blog…
|
|
NZCPR Weekly:
POLITICISING POVERTY
By Dr Muriel Newman
In
her final speech in the House of Commons
on 22 November 1990, the former Prime Minister
Margaret Thatcher engaged in one of her more
memorable exchanges with the Member from
Southwark and Bermondsey, to explain that
policies aimed at reducing the gap between rich
and poor will result in everyone becoming poorer:
Mr.
Simon Hughes (Southwark and Bermondsey):
There is no doubt that the Prime
Minister, in many ways, has achieved substantial success. There is one
statistic, however, that I understand is not challenged, and that is that,
during her 11 years as Prime Minister, the gap between the richest 10 per
cent and the poorest 10 per cent in this country has widened
substantially… Surely she accepts that that is not a record that she or
any Prime Minister can be proud of.
The
Prime Minister:
People on all levels of income are
better off than they were in 1979. The hon. Gentleman is saying that he
would rather that the poor were poorer, provided that the rich were less
rich. That way one will never create the wealth for better social
services, as we have. What a policy. Yes, he would rather have the poor
poorer, provided that the rich were less rich. That is the Liberal policy.
With
those words (you can view the video clip HERE),
the late Baroness Margaret Thatcher could have been addressing the New
Zealand Labour Party. Labour has long held the belief that the gap between
rich and poor can be closed by taxing the rich more. They have never
understood that in the long term, policies aimed at making the rich poorer
will also make the poor poorer. Steep progressive tax and income
redistribution policies are based on the notion that there is only a
finite amount of wealth to go around. Proponents believe that governments
know best how to carve up that wealth in order to give a greater
proportion to lower income earners and make society a “fairer” place.
While most people accept taxation is the necessary means by which their
government funds social services and runs the country, there remains no
doubt that lower, flatter taxes are the fairest. With lower, flatter
taxes, those who earn more pay more - but at rates designed to incentivise
the hard work, investment and risk taking that underpin wealth creation.
In a free society, where individuals are able to pursue their own hopes
and aspirations, a growing economic pie gives everyone at every level of
society the opportunity to eventually become better off.
In his iconic book Free to Choose,
Nobel Prize winning economist Milton Friedman explained it in this way, “A
free society releases the energies and abilities of people to pursue their
own objectives. Freedom means diversity but also mobility. It preserves
the opportunity for today’s disadvantaged to become tomorrow’s
privileged and, in the process, enables everyone, from top to bottom, to
enjoy a fuller and richer life”.
New Zealand has always enjoyed high levels of income mobility. A recent
Treasury report on income mobility in New Zealand confirmed that over time
the income of families can change substantially, with mobility amongst the
lower income groups the greatest.[1] They found that 74 percent of the
families found in the bottom 10 percent of family incomes were no longer
there seven years later. Similarly, only 46 percent of those in the top
decile were still there seven years later.
The study found that the link between low incomes and deprivation
was not as strong as might be expected, with only a third of the people
who had been on a low income for the whole of the seven year period
experiencing any form of deprivation. Deprivation was however, highly
prevalent amongst sole parents. In this context, deprivation is officially
defined as experiencing three or more of the following: being on welfare,
being unemployed for more than a month, feeling cold to save on heating
costs, receiving charity, wearing worn-out shoes, buying cheap food or
going without fresh fruit and veggies to save money for other things.[2]
However, whether those “other things” means living expenses such as
power and rent, or consumables such as alcohol and cigarettes, is not
clear.
The Treasury report concluded with a number of recommendations including
the key point that government policy should be designed with mobility
in mind. In other words, given an opportunity to improve their
circumstances, most families will do so. What that means is that
implementing policies that encourage wealth creation to grow the economic
pie is the very best way that governments can improve society and help
families to get ahead. Conversely, the worst thing that governments can do
is to introduce policies that will stifle growth by crushing freedom,
wealth creation and entrepreneurial aspiration.
In a recent speech “A country that works for you” David Shearer
signalled that the Labour Party intends to make the gap between rich and
poor an election issue: “A small number prosper, the vast majority
don’t. I don’t want New Zealand to keep heading in this direction. I
want us to become prosperous together and give everyone a fair
share.”[3]
In his speech he promoted a Living
Wage: “it’s the amount a person needs to earn to provide for
themselves and a family”.
According to Living Wage Aotearoa
New Zealand (a coalition of trade unions, community organisations and
poverty action groups) the living
wage rate for New Zealand is $18.40 per hour. This rate is 33 percent
higher than the present minimum wage of $13.75 an hour and higher than
Labour’s election pledge of a $15 an hour minimum wage. Does this mean
that Labour plans to push the minimum wage up to $18.40 an hour if they
become the next government? One would hope they are not so economically
ignorant that they could possibly overlook the crippling impact such a
move would have on small businesses and economic growth.
In the lead up to the 2011 election, Labour promised a ‘fairer’ tax
system: “Labour will rebalance the tax system so that everyone pays
their fair share, and build a country where everyone can prosper – not a
country divided by the growing gap between rich and poor.” To rebalance
the tax system they planned to establish a $5,000 tax-free zone, to
introduce a 15 percent Capital Gains Tax, and to increase the top tax rate
to 39 percent.[4]
In addition, they wanted to extend Working for Families - an income
transfer scheme Helen Clark introduced in 2004 to incentivise families
with children to enter the workforce - to include beneficiary families.
They also want to spend $150 million to extend Paid Parental Leave for
families with a new baby from 14 weeks to 26 weeks (a Labour Party private
member’s bill to deliver this policy is presently in front of
Parliament).
These sorts of expensive income transfer schemes are usually justified on
the basis that they will help to reduce child poverty. However, there are
fundamental problems with how poverty is measured, not only in New
Zealand, but in many other developed countries as well.
Poverty was originally measured on the basis of the struggle that people
had to acquire the basic necessities of life including food and shelter.
This remains the reality of life in many third world countries where the
World Bank’s measure of abject poverty, which is based on the number of
people living on US$1.25 or less a day, makes sense. However, the
situation in most developed countries is quite different – while there
may be pockets of such poverty amongst groups like the homeless, it is no
longer a major societal problem.
Over the years, in line with the rise in a country’s living standards
and the establishment of a universal welfare safety net, real poverty
essentially disappears. However, the term ‘poverty’ is such a powerful
emotive tool that advocates of income redistribution and progressive
taxation were never willingly going to let it fade away. As a result
‘poverty’ has been re-born as a relative
measure.
Relative poverty is a political construct based on a country’s income
distribution - people are considered poor if they earn less than a
benchmark based on the median wage. In New Zealand, families are
considered to live in relative poverty if they receive less than 60
percent of median disposable household income after adjusting for housing
costs. With the median disposable household income for a New Zealand
family of four - after paying the rent or mortgage – being around $1,000
a week, anyone living in a family of four with a weekly household income
of $600 or less - after paying their housing costs - is classified as
living in poverty.
But there is a problem. Due to the way that poverty is defined, poverty
- that is relative poverty -
can only be eliminated if everyone has the same or approximately the same
level of income. This, of course, ensures that no matter how many
anti-poverty programmes a government puts in place, poverty is set to
stay.
Kristian
Niemietz, a Poverty Research Fellow at the London-based Institute for
Economic Affairs has been investigating better options for measuring
poverty to avoid this pitfall:
“We should approach poverty
measurement from an altogether different angle. Surveys in the UK show
that people may wildly disagree on what constitutes poverty when asked in
abstract terms, but when asked more specifically which goods constitute
‘necessities’ in our day and age, there is a surprisingly robust
consensus. So why not build a poverty indicator around that consensus? One
could assemble a consumption basket containing all the goods and services
that the majority consider necessities, gather the market prices of these
items, add them up, and use the total cost of the basket as a poverty
line.”
This approach is similar to the well accepted ‘basket of goods’
approach that is used to calculate the Consumer Price Index. Kristian
explains, “This would not just provide a more realistic account of how
much poverty there is in developed countries. It would also encourage more
sensible policy responses. The policy focus would be less on income
redistribution, and more on creating the conditions for competitive
product markets. A market structure which makes the basics of life easily
affordable, right across the income distribution, can be seen as a safety
net of sorts. And it is a
safety net which does not trap people in dependency and inactivity.”
In his article, Kristian makes the point that since housing represents a
significant cost for families, then releasing land and encouraging the
building of houses in areas where shortages have driven up prices, is an
important anti-poverty measure. In other words, getting the free market to
work more effectively to provide consumers with a greater choice of
essential goods and services at more competitive prices does everyone in
society a service. This is a more responsible approach to public policy
than the present focus on income redistribution, which not only undermines
wealth creation and economic growth, but also increases welfare dependency
and deepens the welfare trap.
If we are to advance as a country there needs to be greater honesty in the
poverty debate. There needs to be an acknowledgement that, firstly, the
measure commonly used in this country is a relative measure of income
distribution not poverty, and secondly, that policies that make wealth
creators less wealthy will not make the poor less poor.
THIS WEEK’S
POLL ASKS:
Do
you believe Labour's plan to make wealth creators less wealthy will
improve the economy?
Click HERE
to vote
*Read
this week's poll comments daily HERE
*Last
week 93% of voters believed
the Labour-Green
announcement was an act of political sabotage, while 7% thought they were
keeping the investment market fully informed.
...
read the comments HERE
FOOTNOTES:
1. Treasury,
A
descriptive analysis of income and deprivation in New Zealand
2.
Charles Waldegrave et al, A
New Zealand Index of Socio-economic Deprivation for Individuals
3.
David Shearer, A
country that works for you
4.
Labour Party, Election
Manifesto 2011
|
|
NZCPR Guest
Commentary: 
POOR
PEOPLE IN RICH COUNTRIES - a new approach to measurement and policy
By Kristian Niemietz
“Do
these considerations have any implications for New Zealand? Probably yes,
even though the specifics are hard to diagnose from the other side of the
globe. But presumably, as in the case of the UK, a poverty measure based
on market prices would place particular emphasis on the housing market. In
this sector, New Zealand has experienced a similar cost explosion as the
UK. In Auckland and Christchurch, average house prices are now nearly
seven times the average annual household income. International evidence
shows that such price escalations are usually the result of excessively
tight land use regulations which choke residential development. This is a
typical example of market distortions which raise the cost of living for
the least well-off. A cost-effective anti-poverty strategy should,
foremost, consist of identifying these distortions, and removing them.
“In
this sense, poverty alleviation is the natural territory of free-market
liberals. They should reclaim it.”
...
read the full article HERE
|
|
|
|
___________________________________________________
New Zealand Centre for
Political Research
PO Box 984 WHANGAREI
Ph: 09-434-3836, Fax: 09 434-4224, Mob: 021-800-111
muriel@nzcpr.com
www.nzcpr.com
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Dear
Reader,
This
week we reflect on the damage that Labour and the Greens have caused
with their proposal to nationalise the electricity industry, our NZCPR
Guest Commentator Professor Roger Bowden examines the global warming
debate and the importance of scepticism, and this week's poll asks
whether the announcement by Labour and the Greens was deliberate
political sabotage.
*Don't forget, you can sign the Declaration of Equality and
make a Submission to the Independent Constitutional Review
Panel by visiting www.ConstitutionalReview.org
*The
transition to the new NZCPR website is continuing - our apologies for
any glitches that you might encounter
Thanks again for your interest and support.
Kindest regards,

Dr Muriel Newman
NZCPR Founder and Director
|
What’s new
on our Breaking Views blog…
|
|
NZCPR Weekly:
SABOTAGE OR OPEN
DISCLOSURE?
By Dr Muriel Newman
Irresponsible
sabotage or keeping the market fully informed? As anyone who has
followed politics closely will know, there is no doubt that
the coincidentally timed
announcement by the Labour and Green parties to nationalise the
wholesale electricity industry was designed to materially impact on the
sale of Mighty River Power shares.
They
could have announced the issue some months ago, before the float had
commenced. Instead they chose to do so after the offer price range had
been set and after applications had opened. Given the materiality of the
radical proposals, the government had no choice but to suspend the
offer, give those investors who had applied the opportunity to withdraw
their share application, and restate the risks associated with the
investment. It has in effect, derailed the offer by spooking investors.
Last
week’s policy announcement has also demonstrated just how reckless and
selfish Labour and the Greens are. They are prepared to destroy private
sector wealth creation and competitive free markets to advance their own
political careers. Not only have they diminished the value of power
companies, but they have sent a telegram to all overseas investors that
New Zealand is a high risk country. Those investors will no doubt adjust
upwards their risk return assessments and demand higher returns from any
future investments they may make in this country. That may include
overseas banks financing domestic mortgages.
Whether
one likes foreign investment or not, the fact is that without it, there
would be fewer jobs and less economic activity. While that will not hurt
well paid politicians in Wellington, it will hurt workers and the
families who rely on their incomes.
Mark Warminger, a Portfolio Manager with Milford Asset Management has
quantified the potential damage of the Labour-Green proposal:
“...to save $700m per annum from our total electricity bill the direct
and indirect costs of such a scheme would be in the order of the
following; $2.5bn in additional debt servicing costs, $450m
reduction in dividends, $4.5bn asset write-downs from State owned
enterprises, $1bn of capital destruction of the listed power companies
and a reduction of $100m of dividends per annum to New Zealand shareholders. In
addition, there will be highly skilled jobs lost as power
companies reduce capital expenditure and development. In the short
term this will not be an issue whilst demand catches up with supply
but by the time supply and demand are in balance it will be too
late to add additional capacity in a timely manner.
”[1]
According
to TV3 News, JBWere, a firm which manages $1 billion of client funds in
our share market, has signalled that it and other investors will leave
the New Zealand stock market if the state intervention signalled by
Labour and the Greens becomes a reality: “The steps the Labour/Greens
are suggesting, if enacted, are significant enough for JBWere to
consider a reduced allocation to the local share market. We doubt we
would be alone in making this judgment”.[2]
Labour
and the Greens tried to justify their announcement by claiming that the
electricity market is not working and that the cause is the failure of
the reforms introduced by Max Bradford and the National Government in
1998. The facts, however, tell a different story as the above graph of
annual increases in consumer electricity prices show. The latest round
of price-rise problems were clearly caused by Labour’s re-regulation
of the electricity market in 2002.
For
anyone who does not understand just how disastrous it would be if
Russell Norman were in charge of the highly complex electricity market,
consider what our supermarkets would be like if he ran them too! This is
no less illogical than controlling electricity pricing and not outside
the realms of possibility given that the former Venezuelan President,
the late Hugo Chavez, a hero of the Green Party, nationalised
supermarkets in 2010 over accusations of price gauging.
That
is not to say there are no problems with the electricity industry and
the price of power – of course there are. The New Zealand Centre for
Political Research has explored the issue often enough as we have tried
to highlight the underlying forces that are driving power price
increases. But never in our wildest dreams did we imagine the Labour
Party would embrace the wacky ideas of the deeply socialist Green Party
as their own on such an important issue. For Labour to do so shows how
far they have drifted to the left – not even Helen Clark would have
been so reckless.
Within
two days of the Labour-Green announcement, the sharemarket value of
Contact Energy, Trust Power and Infratil had fallen by almost $600
million. That loss will be felt by mum and dad investors who have part
of their retirement nest-egg squirreled away in such listed companies,
as well as the 2 million New Zealanders who have KiwiSaver accounts. In
addition, all New Zealanders will suffer a loss via the New Zealand
Super Fund and ACC’s investment fund.
All
New Zealanders will also lose out because this ill-timed missile will no
doubt diminish the issue price of Mighty River Power shares. That means
less money for debt repayment, hospitals and schools. In other words, it
is sick people and children who will bear the brunt, which says a great
deal about Labour and Green MPs.
Labour
and the Greens have justified their state control policy by
claiming they are concerned about the impact that the rising cost of
power is having on households. What they of course don’t say is that
they are responsible for much of that increase. During the nine years
that Labour (supported by the Greens) was in office power prices
increased by 72 percent. They have subsequently risen by 20 percent
since National has been in office.
Two
of the main reasons for the power price increases – as our own
research over the last few years has shown – are the government’s
energy strategy and the Emissions Trading Scheme.
Although
New Zealand is a world leader in the production of electricity from
renewable sources, in 2007 the Labour Government (and its Green support
partner) launched a new energy strategy which required 90 percent of the
country’s electricity to be generated from renewable sources by 2025.
In addition, a 10-year moratorium on the building of new fossil fuel
base load power generation plants was introduced. As a result, there was
a massive switch within the industry towards more expensive
‘renewable’ electricity generation (windmills) which pushed up the
cost of power.
The
Emissions Trading Scheme is another green
policy that was introduced the dying days of the Labour administration.
Designed to penalise New Zealanders for the production of greenhouse
gases, it has also pushed up the price of electricity by introducing a
surcharge onto the stationary energy sector in 2010 that was estimated
to increase the amount that consumers would pay for power by $400
million. At the same time, an ETS surcharge of 3.5 cents a litre was
added to the price of fuel.
These
ETS increases, which have worked their way through the whole economy to
increase the cost of goods and services across the board, are the worst
form of bureaucratic cost impost, since the benefits provided by the ETS
are non-existent. The fact that the scheme remains in place is a
testament to some misguided political belief that penalising New Zealand
consumers and businesses is somehow going to save the planet.
The
ETS was, of course, introduced after the Labour Government signed the
Kyoto Protocol in 2002 and tied New Zealand to a binding commitment to
reduce greenhouse gases to 1990 levels between 2008 and 2012 – even
though the whole idea was completely barmy given that almost half of our
greenhouses gases are produced by cattle and sheep. Once the Kyoto
Protocol expired, at the end of 2012, New Zealand pulled out, but
instead of disestablishing the costly ETS, National has left it in place
– just like they left in place Labour’s unachievable 90 percent
renewable energy generation goal in their Energy Strategy, instead of
replacing it with a more sensible option.
Since
Kyoto expired, carbon
prices around the world have crashed. In the European Union last week
the price hit junk bond status - falling from nearly €30 a tonne in
2008 to €2.47 after the European Parliament voted against propping up
the price. In 2011, the Swiss Bank UBS produced a report for investors
claiming that the EU’s emissions trading scheme had cost the
continent’s consumers €210 billion for “almost zero impact”.[3]
Goodness knows what the ETS has really cost New Zealand – not just in
the rising cost of power, fuel and all other goods and services
(including a new surcharge on rubbish collection now that the waste
sector has entered the ETS), but in the loss of jobs through businesses
closing and relocating overseas; such
figures are almost impossible to find.
But
the carbon price crash is not the only change. Stalwart supporters of
global warming are now starting to question the theory itself given that
global temperatures have not risen for over 15 years, in spite of
computer models showing that temperatures should be rising in step with
carbon dioxide. They are realising that not only are the models wrong,
but so too are the scary scenarios which the models generate. Even
prestigious publications such as The
Economist are starting to question the competency of climate models
and the groups that promote alarmist scenarios. Certainly the public are
becoming more sceptical, which is heartening, given the steady diet of
doom and gloom that is being dished out by many media outlets.
This
week’s NZCPR Guest Commentator is Professor Roger Bowden, an economist
who has long followed developments in climate change and global warming
theory. In his article Climate
change and the social importance of scepticism, he explains how
ideological intolerance is a major threat to an open society:
“Take global warming… It all looked convincing to me.
But the doubts started to creep in. As a mathematical modeller
myself, I was uneasy about the faith being placed in the causal models.
Given his outstanding mathematical modelling credentials, it was hard to
dismiss the negative assessment of Freeman Dyson, of Princeton
University, as out of date or over the hill. And at the outset I was
just a little worried by the curve, which appeared to show that global
temperatures were leading CO2 rises, not the other way round.
And any unusual weather pattern, it seemed, was grist to the mill
for the climate correctness industry.
“Moreover
as an economist, the motives for professional capture became
progressively more apparent. By that I do not mean just money,
consultancy, or at one remove, government funding for me and my team.
Scientists enjoy public attention and social importance just as much as
the next man, or woman. But
I also became troubled by the intolerance of opposing views that had
started to develop. Climate change and its mechanism became a 'done
deal' in the media, as though no socially responsible person could
possibly think otherwise.”
Professor
Bowden concludes his article with a warning - that the suppression of
dissenting voices by ideologically-driven bullies does society a real
disservice. He also contends universities
in particular have a responsibility to remain open minded to the claims
of sceptics, knowing that opposing views lie at the heart of critical
thinking.
Without
a doubt we should apply this same logic to parliament and politics.
Dissenting voices in popular debates should be treated with respect
instead of vilification. If we are to nurture an open society then it is
crucial that all sides of an argument are encouraged to speak out. Those
that do so should not be criticised nor ridiculed for expressing their
view – that should be reserved for the bullies that attack them
personally instead of addressing the issue!
THIS
WEEK’S POLL ASKS:
Do
you believe the Labour-Green announcement was an act of political
sabotage or simply keeping the investment market fully informed?
Click HERE
to vote
*Read
this week's poll comments daily HERE
*Last
week 99% of voters believe
that the principles of the Treaty of Waitangi should not be included in
a New Zealand constitution ...
read the comments HERE
FOOTNOTES:
1.Mark
Warminger, Rolling
blackouts could be our future
2.TV3, JBWere
predicts capital flight
3.Australian, Europe's
$287bn carbon 'waste': UBS report
|
|
NZCPR Guest
Commentary: 
CLIMATE
CHANGE AND THE SOCIAL IMPORTANCE OF SCEPTICISM
By Prof Roger Bowden
“Early
on, small cracks started to appear in the edifice of moral certainty on
climate correctness, in the form of controversies about selective data
quotation, or even data fudging. The Himalayan glaciers were not all
retreating, the Antarctic sea ice was in fact growing, and so on.
“But
a much larger crack developed as the first C21 decade passed. It became
apparent that although CO2 had continued its march upwards,
it had left warming behind; since 1997 there has been little or no
global warming. Credit for disseminating this finding goes to the UK Daily
Mail, who promptly got into hot water for suggesting that the UK Met
Office had hidden the light under a bushel. And a few months later, a
team from Reading University showed that this had breached the 95%
confidence band for the prevailing IPCC model. Or to put it plainly,
there was only a 5% chance that the model was right.”
...
read the full article HERE
|
|
|
|
___________________________________________________
New Zealand Centre for
Political Research
PO Box 984
WHANGAREI
Ph: 09-434-3836, Fax: 09 434-4224, Mob: 021-800-111
muriel@nzcpr.com
www.nzcpr.com
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Dear
Reader,
This
week we examine what a new study on the constitutional review means
for the future, our NZCPR Guest Commentator Professor James Allan
explains how major constitutional change should only occur through a
binding referendum, and this week's poll asks whether the principles
of the Treaty of Waitangi should be included in a New Zealand
Constitution.
*To sign the Declaration of Equality and make a Submission
to the Independent Constitutional Review Panel, please visit www.ConstitutionalReview.org
*The
transition to the new NZCPR website is continuing - our apologies for
any glitches that you might encounter
Thanks again for your interest and support.
Kindest regards,

Dr Muriel Newman
NZCPR Founder and Director
|
What’s new
on our Breaking Views blog…
|
|
NZCPR Weekly:
WELCOME TO THE
FUTURE
By Dr Muriel Newman
One
only needs look at the present to see what 
New
Zealand will be like in the future. The North
Island will be known as Te Ika a Maui, the South Island as Te
Waipounamu, and New Zealand as Aotearoa. Those who use water for
commercial
purposes will be charged “storage” because lakes and rivers will be
known as vessels owned by iwi. Helicopter pilots hovering over mountains
will be prosecuted for “offending” the sacred ancestors
of Maori. Cultural groups will be flown around
the world at taxpayers’ expense to accompany dignitaries. New
immigrants will be required to undergo Treaty of Waitangi
“awareness” training
as a condition of their settlement. Treaty “education” in schools
and the workplace will be mandatory. And there will be preferential
race-based treatment for health, education, and all social services…
If a Treaty-based constitution becomes law this will be future New
Zealand. Every law and every regulation will be tested to ensure
preference is given to Maori. The outcome will be predictable – a
two-tier society divided by race: a tribal ruling class dictating
across-the-board race-based preference, with all other New Zealanders
relegated to second class citizenship status. By all counts it will be
an apartheid society.
This could never happen, you might be saying as you dismiss these
comments as scaremongering. Yet a study published by Research New
Zealand earlier this month shows just how close we are to this new
reality.[1] The study, which was based on a telephone poll of 500 people
between March 19 and March 26, asked whether Treaty of Waitangi
principles should be incorporated in the New Zealand Constitution. 58
percent of respondents said “Yes”. Only 35 percent disagreed with
the proposition. That is enough to change the future direction of New
Zealand - and give strength to the Maori radicals who are intent on
reclaiming New Zealand from the ‘colonialists’. The
poll had a margin of error of 4.7 percent.
You may well ask how it is possible that 58 percent of the population
would want a Treaty based constitution? Two reasons. Firstly, the
question was leading. It asked, “It is likely that a New Zealand
Constitution would incorporate the principles embodied in the Treaty of
Waitangi. In your view should the principles of the Waitangi Treaty be
included in a New Zealand Constitution?” Had the first sentence of the
question been omitted the result might have been quite different.
Secondly, in the absence of a full and proper debate on the issue, it is
likely that many of those answering the question would have had no idea
of the ramifications of a Treaty-based constitution.
The breakdown of the poll responses in the report shows that of the
total 58 percent of respondents who voted in favour of a Treaty of
Waitangi constitution:
- 61% were female and 55% male;
- 67% were 18-34 year-olds, 58% were 35-54 year-olds, and 51% were aged
55 & over;
- 57% were “NZ European/Pakeha”, 67% were “Maori/Pacific”, and
57% were “Other”;
- 60% earned under $40,000, 54% earned $40-$80,000, and 60% earned
$80,000 or more
- 61% lived in the upper North Island, 51% in the lower North Island,
and 59% in the South Island
This poll reveals how close minority interests are to changing race
relations in New Zealand. Let’s not forget this agenda is being led by
a minor Maori sovereignty political party that gained only 1.4 percent
of the party vote in the 2011 General Election – 31,982 votes. A
condition of the Maori Party entering into a coalition deal with
National was a review of the constitution with a view to giving
‘effect’ to the Treaty of Waitangi.
The Maori Party’s goal was clear - a new constitution based on
the Treaty of Waitangi as supreme law.
The Maori Party’s constitutional review was launched with the
appointment of a Constitutional Advisory Panel in August 2011. Members
of the panel were racially selected – a Pacific Island and an Asian
representative, five Maori and five non-Maori. This significant
over-representation of Maori on the panel is consistent with the move by
Maori supremacists to ensure that the Maori voice or vote on official
bodies is equal to that of non-Maori. That this creates a bias in
official affairs, including those of the Constitutional Advisory Panel
– a jack up in plain words
- appears to be of no consequence to this government.
The panel’s public consultation and submission process, which started
at the end of February, is scheduled to last until the end of June. That
means an official consultation period of only 4 months out of the more
than 2 years that they will have been in existence and being paid by
taxpayers. No public meetings of the “town hall” variety are being
held, only hosted meetings run by private organisations. Maori-only
meetings are scheduled but non-Maori are not invited.
It is a low key approach designed to ensure the review “flies under
the radar”. As a result, few New Zealanders are even aware of the
review - as was confirmed by the Research New Zealand poll, which showed
that two thirds of the respondents had not even heard that a
constitutional review was underway. And of the minority that are aware
of the constitutional review, few are likely to realise it is the
brainchild of Maori radicals.
The truth is that there is no widespread public demand for a new
constitution - a full Parliamentary Select Committee Inquiry in 2005
found that there was no constitutional crisis in New Zealand that needed
to be fixed.
The Constitutional Advisory Panel has a new website and is calling for
submissions. Nowhere on that website is there any explanation of what it
would actually mean for New Zealand if the Treaty of Waitangi was
inserted into a new written constitution. The best explanation to date
remains the article, A Treaty of
Waitangi Constitution, written by Canterbury University law lecturer
and Independent Constitutional Review Chairman David Round for the NZCPR
in which he outlines the implications of a Treaty-based constitution –
see HERE.
This is how our constitution is described on the advisory panel’s
website:
New Zealand has a constitution
– it’s just not all written down in a single document. Our
constitutional rules include legislation such as the New Zealand Bill of
Rights Act 1990 and the Constitution Act 1986, foundational documents
such as the Treaty of Waitangi signed in 1840 and established
constitutional principles.
The submission questions then ask:
1. Do you think our constitution
should be written in a single document? Why?
2. Do you think our constitution should have a higher legal status than
other laws (supreme law)? Why?
3. Who should have the power to decide whether legislation is consistent
with the constitution: Parliament or the Courts? Why?
Regarding the Treaty of Waitangi, the website states:
The Treaty of Waitangi is an
agreement made between the British Crown and Māori chiefs in 1840.
It enabled the British to establish a government in New Zealand and
confirmed to Māori the right to continue to exercise
rangatiratanga. The Treaty is generally regarded as New Zealand’s
founding document and influences the relationships between the Crown and
Māori. The Treaty is one of the factors that may be taken into
account in law-making and public decision-making.
The questions then ask:
1. Thinking of the future, what
role do you think the Treaty of Waitangi could have in our constitution?
2. Do you think that the Treaty should be made a formal part of the
constitution? Why?
We have compiled a full list of the submission information and questions
from the website HERE.
We hope it will assist anyone who intends making a submission to focus
on the matters that are of greatest concern to them.
Until the Research New Zealand poll was published, anybody who
understood what a Treaty of Waitangi constitution would mean for New
Zealand might have thought that there would be little public support
since the consequences for the future would be so disastrous. As David
Round puts it in his December article, “The Treaty could be used in
every single situation we can think of as an argument as to why the law
should grant special privileges to members of the ‘Maori race’, and
why any law that does not do so is defective… A Treaty clause is an
invitation to endless litigation, and a guarantee of eternal uncertainty
and racial bitterness.”
However, this poll highlights how trusting New Zealanders are and how
naive they would be if they actually believe that their government would
not introduce such fundamental changes to our democracy – if it meant
staying in power. The public appear happy enough to go along with the
idea that they might be helping to overcome “Maori disadvantage” -
even though past grievances have been settled multiple times, and
despite Maori tribes now being amongst the wealthiest institutions in
our society (and now well resourced to further pursue their sovereignty
agenda).
Do not despair – of course we are fighting back, but all we have is
the truth behind us and the power of words. We have launched the
Declaration of Equality as an alternative vision of the future – one
based on equal rights with no special treatment based on race. Some
42,000 people have signed the Declaration, but to make a real difference
we need many more. If you can help to spread the word and encourage more
people to sign, then please do so.
One heartening result from the Research New Zealand poll was the fact
that almost 80 percent of respondents believe it should not be up to the
government to make constitutional changes – they believe that right
belongs to the public. When asked “If a document called the ‘New
Zealand Constitution’ emerges from the review, Parliament alone could
decide whether or not to adopt it or a referendum could be held. Which
of these would you prefer?” 79% said the decision should be made
through a referendum, and only 13 percent thought it should be made by
Parliament alone.
This week’s NZCPR Guest Commentator is Professor James Allan of
Queensland University, a constitutional law expert and member of our
Independent Constitutional Review Panel, who is a staunch advocate of
the use of referenda as the main democratic means of bringing about
constitutional change. In his article Changing
an Unwritten Constitution, he picks
up on a recent statement by the Prime Minister, “So when Mr. Key
muses, as he recently did, that you couldn’t just change from a 3 year
electoral cycle to a 4 year one on the basis of a 75 percent of MPs vote
– that this less fundamental shift needed a binding referendum – it
surely follows that the even more important and central issue of our
constitutional arrangements themselves also need a binding referendum
before there can be change.”
He continues, “So
here is an out-and-out challenge to Mr. Key.
Be straight with the voters.
Announce that there will be no changes to the unwritten
constitution that has served New Zealand so well without there first
being a binding referendum. Say
it now; say it clearly; and stop people from fretting that some
illegitimate process might be employed.”
Until now, many of you who regularly read these newsletters will have
been thinking to yourself that you don’t need to do anything because
the Maori Party will never succeed with their plan for a Treaty based
constitution that puts their personal ambitions above those of the
nation. Well, I hope this poll has stirred you out of your complacency.
Politics and democracy can deliver the best we can hope for as citizens,
but it can also deliver the worst.
New Zealand is at a tipping point, brought about by MMP. The public now
has two options – complacency… allowing themselves to be manipulated
by a radical minority, or standing up for what they believe to be right.
At the NZCPR we are doing all we can to stand up for equality and
stronger democracy. We hope you will do so too.
For more information please visit
www.ConstitutionalReview.org
to sign the Declaration of Equality, put in a submission, volunteer to
help, or donate to the cause.
*If
you too are fed up with more and more race-based preference being thrust
onto the country, then join us in saying
you have
No
Confidence in establishment politics - click HERE
for details.
THIS
WEEK’S POLL ASKS:
Should
the principles of the Waitangi Treaty be included in a New Zealand
Constitution?
Click HERE
to vote
*Read
this week's poll comments daily HERE
*Last
week 98% of voters believe
that business activities carried out by charities that are unrelated to
their charitable purpose should be taxed ...
read the comments HERE
FOOTNOTES:
1.Research
New Zealand, Review
of the New Zealand Constitution
|
|
NZCPR Guest
Commentary: 
CHANGING
AN UNWRITTEN CONSTITUTION
By Prof James Allan
“What
is not respectable is to change New Zealand’s constitutional
structures without giving New Zealand voters a say.
If some sort of written constitution were proposed, maybe one
with the Treaty entrenched within it, then before that sort of outcome
could have even a scintilla of legitimacy the question ought to be put
to all of you...
“If
any change to New Zealand’s unwritten constitution were to proceed without
a binding referendum, my sense and indeed my hope is that the National
Party would be obliterated as a political force in New Zealand.”
...
read the full article HERE
|
|
|
|
___________________________________________________
New Zealand Centre for
Political Research
PO Box 984
WHANGAREI
Ph: 09-434-3836, Fax: 09 434-4224, Mob: 021-800-111
muriel@nzcpr.com
www.nzcpr.com
To unsubscribe from the NZCPR mailing list, send
this email - but don't forget to reply to the confirmation message.
If you are having problems unsubscribing, please email admin@nzcpr.com
with "Unsubscribe" in the subject line.
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with "Address Change" in the subject line,
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Back
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Dear
Reader,
This
week we look at the charitable sector, our NZCPR Guest Commentator Dr
Michael Gousmett outlines some of the changes that need to be made,
and our poll asks whether charities should be required to pay tax on
business activities that are unrelated to their charitable purpose.
Our migration to the new NZCPR website is continuing as planned - we
are hoping for a smooth transition but our apologies in advance if you
experience any glitches!
Thanks again for your interest and support.
Kindest regards,

Dr Muriel Newman
NZCPR Founder and Director
|
What’s new
on our Breaking Views blog…
|
|
NZCPR Weekly:
CHARITIES UNDER
REVIEW
By Dr Muriel Newman

According
to a survey carried out in 2010, New
Zealand ranked first equal with Australia as the
world’s most charitable nation.[1] The World
Giving
Index, published by the Charities Aid Foundation
used a Gallup survey of 195,000 people in 153
nations to assess the extent of charitable activities.
It showed that 68 percent of New Zealanders had
given money to charity during the last month, 41
percent had volunteered time, and 63 percent had
helped a stranger. While the latest 2012 survey
shows that New Zealand is now ranked 4th, behind Australia,
Ireland and Canada, our charitable record is still impressive.
The Charities Commission prepared a snapshot of New Zealand’s
charities sector in 2011.[2] It showed there were 25,785 registered
charities spread right across the country that provide a wide range of
services in all areas of community activity.
The total income received by the charities sector has increased
substantially over the last few years from $6.1 billion in 2009 to $14.2
billion in 2011. The increase is driven by the growth in government
grants and in the provision of services, with grants growing from $1.8
billion to $4.8 billion and service provision growing from $2.1 billion
to $5.5 billion. Donations also grew from $0.6 billion to $1.05 billion,
no doubt as a result of tax changes. Prior to 1 April 2008, the maximum
refund available to individuals donating to charity was $630, which
meant that only the first $1,890 of a donation received any income tax
relief. However, that limit has been abolished so that all charitable
and public benefit gifts up to the value of a person's taxable income
now qualify for a tax credit.
The number of small charities with an income of less than $20,000
grew substantially between 2009 and 2010, from 5,014 to 8,781. Those
with incomes between $20,000 and $100,000 grew from 3,442 to 6,066;
those with incomes between $100,000 and $1 million grew from 2,950 to
5,173; those with incomes from $1 million to $20 million doubled from
718 to 1,430; and the number of charities with incomes of over $20
million, jumped from 37 in 2009 to 83 in 2010.
The sectors that received the greatest amount of charitable funding
in 2011 were education, training and research, which received $4.5
billion, followed by health with $3.4 billion, religious activities with
$1.3 billion, and social services with $680 million.
In 2011 New Zealand charities employed a total of 180,972 staff.
Charities in the education sector employed 44,163 staff, those engaged
in religious activities employed 38,729 staff, and those in the health
sector 36,802 staff. In comparison, 448,295 volunteers worked in the
charitable sector in 2011, with 110,762 volunteering in health, 109,246
in religious activities, and 36,403 in education. This shows the
enormous contribution to community wellbeing that is made by volunteers.
The Charities Commission identified Auckland University as the
largest charity in New Zealand in 2011 with combined income and assets
of $2.3 billion. Tainui Group Holdings was placed tenth with $328
million. The Roman Catholic Diocese of Auckland Group is listed as the
top charity registered as a group with income and assets valued at $793
million. The Ngai Tahu Charitable Group is listed in second place with a
value of $762 million.
While the charitable sector makes an invaluable contribution to New
Zealand’s social infrastructure, the sector is not without
controversy. This is understandable given the taxpayer subsidies and
benefits that organisations stand to receive if they are successful in
gaining charitable status.
For some, the controversy is over whether their so-called charitable
purpose is of genuine public benefit. The environmental activist
movement Greenpeace is a case in point - it has been trying to gain
charitable status since its application was declined by the Charities
Commission in 2010. The reasons given for the rejection is that not only
were they involved in illegal activities, but that two of their main
objectives – promoting ‘peace’ and ‘disarmament’ – are
political not charitable. Greenpeace appealed the decision to the High
Court, which upheld the view of the Commission, but the Court of Appeal
has now ruled that the Charities Registration Board should reconsider
their application.
However, a co-founder of the Greenpeace movement, the Canadian
ecologist Patrick Moore, responded by strongly opposing their attempts
to seek charitable status: “I find Greenpeace’s latest attempt to
seek charitable status in New Zealand via the Charities Registration
Board to be ironic. My view is that the organization I helped found and
lead during the 70s and 80s is anything but charitable today. Since I
left Greenpeace, its members, and the majority of the movement, have
adopted policy after policy that reflects their anti-human bias,
illustrates their rejection of science and technology, and actually
increases the risk of harm to people and the environment. Greenpeace has
a zero tolerance for genetically modified food crops, even though this
technology reduces pesticide use and improves nutrition for people who
suffer from malnutrition. They are opposed nuclear energy, even though
it is the best technology to replace fossil fuels and reduce greenhouse
gas emissions while meeting growing electricity demand. Greenpeace also
campaigns against hydroelectric projects despite the fact hydro is by
far the most abundant renewable source of electricity. And the
organization supports the misguided campaign against salmon farming, an
industry that produces more than a million tons of affordable
heart-friendly food every year. Greenpeace lost its battle in Canadian
courts to hold on to its charitable status in 1999 when Revenue Canada
found that the organization provided ‘no
public benefit’. There’s no reason to reward Greenpeace’s
misinformation campaigns with a subsidy from New Zealand
taxpayers."[3]
The lack of information in the financial reports of many registered
charities is another cause of controversy. The Environmental Defence
Society, a professional activist group that pro-actively opposes
development through the RMA and local authority planning process, is a
case in point. In their 2012 financial statements they show that more
than half of their $843,797 income is spent on contracted consultants,
yet the only comment about exactly who received the $463,365, is a note
to the accounts: “Payments have been made to Firm Ground Ltd (Raewyn
Peart is a director), Taylor Partnership (Gary Taylor is a partner),
Driven Events Ltd (Fiona Driver is a director), for services rendered to
the society. Each are officers of the society. Payments were made on
invoices supplied. Contracts were entered into by the board or delegated
members with the contracting officers abstaining from voting. The
premises are leased from Driven Events Limited which is a company owned
by Fiona Driver, an officer of the society. The lease is on normal
commercial terms. The
three trustees of The Environment Trust; Gary Taylor, Fiona Driver, and
Raewyn Peart are also officers of the Environmental Defence Society.”[4]
Dr Michael Gousmett, an independent researcher with an extensive
background in the charity and non-profit sector, is this week’s NZCPR
Guest Commentator. In his article Tax-Payer
Subsidised Charities And Their Business Activities – Time For Change,
Dr Gousmett reveals details of a number of the country’s major
charities, arguing that there should be far greater accountability and
transparency in the sector. In particular, he proposes that charities
that operate commercial activities that are not related to their
charitable purpose should be required to pay income tax, and those that
fail to distribute their income should be required to pay an excess
surpluses retention tax - along the lines of rules that apply in
Australia and the US.
With regards to Ngai Tahu, he states: “What of the South Island based
Te Runanga o Ngai Tahu (TRONT) and its Ngai Tahu Charitable Trust? To
understand their financial activity, reference must be made to both the
Charities Register and Ngai Tahu’s website. The Charities Register
carries the combined group financial statements for the Ngai Tahu
Charitable Trust, a group comprised of the Trust, Ngai Tahu Holdings
Corporations and its subsidiaries and trusts.
This structure contains 38 limited liability companies, three
trusts including the Ngai Tahu Charitable Trust, and a scholarship fund.
There is also another set of financial statements on Ngai Tahu’s
website which reports the summary group financial statements comprised
of TRONT and the Ngai Tahu Charitable Trust, which is “extracted”
from the audited full group financial Statements. For 2012, these
financial statements reported revenue and other income from trading
operations of $209 million, and a profit of $69 million before Maori
authority and Australian taxation of $427,000. Distributions relating to
tribal, runanga and whanau amount to $16.6 million, or 8 per cent of
revenue, from an asset base of $658 million, yet the report by the chair
and chief executive claims that distributions to TRONT totalled $26.26
million. It is difficult to
see where in the financial statements this figure can be found. Why also
the need for two sets of financial statements?
By extrapolation between the two sets of financial statements, it
appears that TRONT earned revenue of $8.2 million, not $26.26 million as
claimed, and spent $10.8 million on what was described as tribal,
runanga and whanau distribution ‘expenses’. Why then, with these
levels of funding, are there reports of housing and poverty issues
amongst Maori in Canterbury?
“The TRONT report also discloses levels of remuneration in bands of
$100,000. In 2012 there were 67 employees who earned $100,000 or more,
at a total cost of $12.8 million, an 18.5 per cent increase on 2011 at a
cost of $10.8 million. How then is it possible for an organisation which
argues that it is a charity can pay its top three earners between $1.76
and $1.79 million, or 14 per cent of the remuneration paid to the 67
employees, with the top earner receiving between $680,000 and $689,999?
In 2011 there were 61 employees who earned in excess of $100,000, with
the top of the remuneration band being $499,999.
This suggests that the top earner received an increase in
remuneration of 38 per cent, or a maximum of $190,000 in 2012. The
simple question is, why? Excesses in remuneration are not unique to the
for-profit corporate sector, as such figures now show.” The full
article with many other revelations can be read HERE.
Last
year the government launched a review of the charities sector with a
view to improving financial reporting standards.[5]
Research had identified many instances of poor quality financial
reporting that was resulting in meaningless financial statements, a lack
of transparency and accountability, as well as a number of questionable
practices, such as not including donated assets, excluding donations
from the income statement, and intentionally using obscure and confusing
terminology to limit the effective use of the financial statements.
Some accountants working for larger registered charities were found to
be pro-actively lowering charities’ assets or incomes to make them
look poorer than they actually are, as well as keeping assets off
balance sheets and not disclosing revenue – using such means as
establishing an incorporated society to ‘run’ the charity and a
separate charitable trust to keep assets and surpluses, excluding all
fixed assets from the balance sheet, moving bank account balances off
balance sheet when they get too large, and maintaining a separate grants
spreadsheet.
They indicated that such practices might be at risk under section 260 of
the Crimes Act 1961, which relates to false accounting.
As a result of their investigation, changes are being proposed whereby
larger charities will need to have their accounts audited, with
medium-sized charities required to have a review or an audit. The
government is inviting feedback on the proposals, with submissions
closing on May 17 – details can be found HERE
Added to concerns over the
reliability of financial information is the fact that a BDO
Not-For-Profit Fraud Survey 2012 found 86 percent of respondents
agreed fraud is a problem for the sector, with 46 percent indicating
that even a small fraud would have a major impact on their organisation.[6]
It is clear that reform is called for.
Without a doubt, retaining public
confidence in the charities sector is important. With that in mind, a
tightening of the financial reporting rules to bring greater
transparency and accountability appears to be a step in the right
direction. That should include greater disclosure of disbursements, a
clearer indication of the percentage of total income that is being used
to fulfil the charitable purpose - and crucially, how that purpose is
being met - and the imposition of a tax on all business activities
carried out by the charities that are unrelated to their charitable
purpose.
THIS
WEEK’S POLL ASKS:
Do
you support the call for all business activities carried out by a
charity, that are unrelated to their charitable purpose, being taxed?
Click HERE
to vote
*Read
this week's poll comments daily HERE
*Last
week 24% of voters agree
that bank deposits should be guaranteed by taxpayers, while 76% were
opposed
...
read the comments HERE
FOOTNOTES:
1.Charities
Aid Foundation, World
Giving Index 2010
2.Charities
Commission, A
Snapshot of New Zealand’s Charitable Sector 2011
3.Patrick Moore, Greenpeace
is not charitable – co-founder
4.Charities Register, EDS
Annual Return
5.Ministry Economic Development, Auditing
and Assurance for Larger Registered Charities
6.Charities Commission, Fraud
Workshops
|
|
NZCPR Guest
Commentary: 
TAX-PAYER
SUBSIDISED CHARITIES AND THEIR BUSINESS ACTIVITIES
– time
for change
By Dr Michael Gousmett
“The
problem with the charitable purposes exemption from income tax in New
Zealand is that charities do not have to justify, in their annual
reports or returns to the Department of Internal Affairs, what it is
that they actually do for that privilege.
The income tax exemption is considered by the IRD to be a
subsidy, a point with which many charities vehemently disagree.
As a consequence of the Charities Act 2006, charities in England
and Wales now have to provide a written report to the Charity
Commission, which is also made available to the public on the
Commission’s website, of what it is that the charity does that
provides a benefit to the public through their activities.
There is no such requirement in New Zealand, yet our charities
should also be required to explain what it is that they do, with their
tax-payer subsidised income, that is of benefit to the public.
Even religious institutions are required to do so in England and
Wales. Charities might
object to this requirement as yet another bureaucratic burden, but that
is a small price that charities should be required to pay in return for
the privilege of being exempt from income tax. It also forces trustees
to take notice of the organisation’s charitable purposes as described
in the trust deed or constitution, and ensures that they work within
those objects and not drift off into other ventures. It
is called accountability and transparency, which is why we have the
Charities Act 2005. ” ...
read the full article HERE
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___________________________________________________
New Zealand Centre for
Political Research
PO Box 984
WHANGAREI
Ph: 09-434-3836, Fax: 09 434-4224, Mob: 021-800-111
muriel@nzcpr.com
www.nzcpr.com
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Dear
Reader,
This
week, we look at the lessons for New Zealand from the banking crisis
in Cyprus, our NZCPR Guest Commentator Dr Don Brash outlines the
Reserve Bank's Open Bank Resolution scheme, and our poll asks whether
taxpayers should guarantee bank deposits.
This week we are moving to the next stage of our migration to our new
NZCPR website. We are hoping things will go smoothly, but our
apologies in advance if you experience any glitches!
Thanks again for your interest and support.
Kindest regards,

Dr Muriel Newman
NZCPR Founder and Director
|
What’s new
on our Breaking Views blog…
|
|
NZCPR Weekly:
PROTECTING THE
BANKING SECTOR
By Dr Muriel Newman

The
banking crisis in Cyprus came as a sharp reminder to savers around the
world that banks
are not necessarily the safe havens they like to imagine. The plan to
impose a 6.75 percent tax
on savings up to €100,000 (NZ$153,000) and a 9.9 percent tax on
savings above that was proposed
by the Cyprus government as a way of raising the €5.8 billion they
needed to find to qualify for a €10 billion International Monetary
Fund bailout.
However, politicians swiftly backed away from their plan to tax savings
once they saw the depth of public fury.
Under the deal finally agreed with the IMF, Cyprus’s second largest
bank, the Laiki, will be closed. The Laiki Bank is 84 percent owned by
the Cypriot government following a €1.8 billion bailout last year,
with the balance held by private and institutional investors, including
bank staff. All deposits of up to €100,000 will be transferred to the
country’s biggest bank, the Bank of Cyprus, while €4.2 billion worth
of deposits over €100,000 will be placed in a “bad bank” along
with shareholder and bondholder funds, and will probably all be wiped
out.[1]
The Bank of Cyprus will also undergo a massive restructuring to return
it to a healthy state. Thousands of staff will lose their jobs.
Shareholders and bondholders are likely to lose their investments and
all depositors with funds of over €100,000 are expected to face losses
of around 30 percent.
Overseas divisions of these banks are said to have some protection –
those that are incorporated in other countries are effectively separate
entities and as subsidiaries operate under a different set of rules.
Even those that are run as “branches” appear to have some measure of
autonomy.
The biggest losers from the Cyprus banking crisis are undoubtedly
Russian nationals. They are estimated to own over €20 billion of the
€68 billion deposited in Cypriot banks, with many holding deposits of
over €100,000. But with Cyprus having been widely recognised as an
offshore finance centre and tax haven, the cost of having to rebuild
their economy from the ruins of their banking system, will fall heavily
on all citizens. The economy has effectively been crushed with debt
levels already standing at 143 percent of GDP. Once capital controls are
lifted, more money will flee the system and the economy will continue to
spiral down.
The Cyprus crisis has served to focus world attention on banking systems
and governments. Most people still regard banks as large safe deposit
boxes, with little concern for the security of their funds. However, the
reality is that bank deposits are risk investments – investors lend
their saving to banks, who lend them on to those with inadequate
savings.
But what the Cyprus government has also revealed is that when pressured
by the terms of a bailout, cash strapped governments are not above
dipping into the savings accounts of citizens for the purpose of
gathering taxes. This incident is a sharp reminder – and a warning -
of the extraordinary power of governments.
In Cyprus – and all European Union countries - bank deposits of up to
€100,000 are safeguarded by a retail deposit scheme, which protects
small depositors in the event of a banking collapse. That’s why
savings of up to €100,000 have been exempted from the bank
restructuring changes that were announced in Cyprus. Such schemes
however, cannot protect depositors from government taxation; as Cypriots
demonstrated, only strong public opposition can do that!
So what are the lessons for New Zealand from the banking crisis in
Cyprus?
First and foremost the events in Cyprus have highlighted the importance
of having a strong economy and a strong banking sector. While we could
always wish for more rapid economic growth, on a global scale New
Zealand is not doing too badly, and our banking sector is amongst the
most highly rated in the world.
Secondly, it demonstrates the importance of having provisions in place
to enable a country to cope with a banking crisis as swiftly as possible
and in a way that minimises collateral damage.
Fortunately the Reserve Bank has been working on just such a scheme –
Open Bank Resolution - which is almost ready for implementation. I asked
Dr Don Brash, the former Governor of the Reserve Bank and this week’s
NZCPR Guest Commentator, if he could provide some background information
for readers. In his article Open
Bank Resolution – better than bank closure or government bailout,
Dr Brash explains:
“The reality is that while
no bank is too big to fail,
some banks are too big to close.
Why? It’s not just
that very large banks hold a huge portfolio of loans which keep the
economy ticking over, and a huge volume of deposits, but mainly that all
banks are closely linked through the electronic payments system.
Pull one of the major components of that payments system out and
the whole system stops. The
damage which would be done to the whole economy would be absolutely
massive.”
Dr Brash continues, “For more for than a decade the Reserve
Bank has been working on how a distressed bank could be failed without
being closed. As I
understand current thinking, if a systemically important bank were to
get into serious trouble, its shareholders would lose all their money,
its board and senior management would get fired, and bank creditors
(including depositors) would have a small proportion of the money owed
to them by the bank frozen – but with the bank continuing to operate
under statutory management.” You can read Dr Brash’s full
explanation HERE; more
details on the scheme can be found on the Reserve Bank website HERE.
While any freeze on savings would be undesirable, it is important
to look at the options. If a failing bank was allowed to close,
depositors would almost certainly lose most of their savings - not to
mention the huge damage a bank failure would inflict on the economy.
Freezing savings - with a view to eventually repaying the deposits in
full - is therefore seen as the lesser of two evils.
Other options, of course, involve government bailouts - but the
cost can be crippling. Ireland’s government debt was only 25 percent
of GDP before the Global Financial Crisis. It is now over 100 percent,
largely as a result of bank bailouts. Deposit Insurance Schemes, of the
sort that protected Cypriot depositors with savings of up to €100,000,
are another variation, but New Zealanders have already experienced first
hand the problems associated with such schemes.
The Labour Government introduced a Retail Deposit Guarantee Scheme as a
temporary measure on October 12th2008 during the dying days
of their administration. Since Australia had just introduced deposit
guarantees, it was seen as a necessary step to maintain depositor
confidence in New Zealand’s financial institutions during the
worst of the Global Financial Crisis. A Wholesale Guarantee Facility was
introduced a few weeks later on November 1st to ensure
banks had access to international funding markets. While the wholesale
guarantee facility was closed down in April 2010, having issued 24
guarantee certificates covering $10.3 billion - and netting the
government $290 million in fees - the retail deposit guarantee scheme
was extended until December 2011.
According to the Auditor General, a total of ninety-six institutions
were accepted into the Scheme - 60 non-bank deposit takers such as
finance companies and credit unions, 12 banks, and 24 collective
investment schemes. No banks accepted into the Scheme failed, and there
was no run on the money in banks. No building societies or credit unions
accepted into the Scheme failed.[2]
However, of the 30 finance companies accepted into the Scheme, nine
failed, triggering taxpayer bail-outs. Some $2 billion was paid out to
more than 42,000 depositors - the lion’s share being to investors in
South Canterbury Finance, which had 35,000 investors and debts of $1.6
billion.
When issuing its Regulatory Impact Statement in September 2009 on
extending the retail deposit guarantee scheme, Treasury noted that the
scheme was having a perverse effect on institutional behaviour, creating
distortions in financial and capital markets. These included
“encouraging guaranteed depositors and deposit taking institutions to
make riskier investment decisions since the gains from these riskier
decisions will be accrued by the depositors and deposit taking
institutions, while potential losses to depositors (of up to $1 million
per depositor per institution) will be borne by the taxpayer”.[3]
Treasury goes on to define this as a “moral hazard” problem, and
explains that as a result of the guarantee, “finance companies (which
tend to be involved in higher-risk and higher-return lending) have grown
their deposit books by approximately $880 million (19%) since the
guarantee was introduced in October 2008. Before the guarantee, the
deposit books of many finance companies were shrinking. In some cases,
finance companies have used retail funding to replace their bank funding
lines.”
The major failure was undoubtedly South Canterbury Finance (SCF), a
finance company that grew far too quickly, and invested far too much of
its funds in the risky property development sector. With the company
reputed to have been in trouble as early as mid 2008, there are
legitimate questions as to not only how it was able to gain approval for
acceptance into the scheme in the first place, but also why it was able
to enter the extended scheme on 1st January 2010.
In an article in the Herald in September 2010, investment analyst Brian
Gaynor outlined how, instead of using the Deposit Insurance Scheme in a
prudent way to consolidate and reduce its exposure to risk, SCF took
advantage of the scheme and the government guarantees to expand its
speculative activities. It increased borrowings between 2008 and 2009 by
$418 million to a record $2.1 billion, and increased its loans by $308
million to a record $1.7 billion. Meanwhile cash reserves, which stood
at $322 million in December 2008, had plunged to $22 million by December
2009. Most investors wanted to pull out their investments before the end
of the government guarantee period, with a massive 99.2 percent of the
total borrowings worth $1.877 billion due to be repaid over the
following 12 month period.[4]
In effect, New Zealand’s experience of retail deposit guarantee
schemes gave new meaning to the expression ‘privatising profits and
socialising losses’. Courtesy of taxpayers, investors in failing
finance companies not only got their money back if the institution
defaulted, but they also received the full interest due to them - even
though they were being paid higher interest rates than normal to cover
the higher risk they took when investing in finance companies rather
than banks. Taxpayers were forced to bear the full costs of bad
management practices by these companies.
In
light of this experience, when deciding how to best prepare for a bank
failure, the Reserve Bank explained that “The New Zealand Government
has looked hard at deposit insurance schemes and concluded that they
blunt the incentives for investors and banks to properly manage risks,
and may even increase the chance of bank failure.”[5]
The open bank resolution plan has been designed to avoid such pitfalls.
THIS WEEK’S POLL
ASKS:
Should
bank deposits be guaranteed by taxpayers?
Click HERE
to vote
*Read
this week's poll comments daily HERE
*Last
week 95% of voters supported
the appointment of Dame Susan Devoy as the new Race Relations
Commissioner
...
read the comments HERE
FOOTNOTES:
1.Economist,
A
better deal but still painful
2.Auditor General, Treasury:
Implementing & managing Crown Retail Deposit Guarantee Scheme
3.Treasury, Regulatory
Impact Statement – extending the retail deposit guarantee scheme
4.Brian Gaynor, South
Canterbury and inevitable train wreck
5.Reserve Bank, Open
Bank Resolution
|
|
NZCPR Guest
Commentary: 
OPEN
BANK RESOLUTION - better than bank closure or government bailout
By Dr Don Brash
“What
is important is that banks cannot trade on the assumption that the
government will bail them out if they make risky decisions,
and that the costs of failure rest where they should – first and
foremost on bank shareholders and their directors and
senior managers, and secondly on those who chose to lend them money.
“It’s
worth remembering that, apart from the short period during which the
government guaranteed all banks, finance companies and credit unions
during the Global Financial Crisis, and the extended period during which
the government guaranteed all the trustee savings banks (until 1988),
banks have never been guaranteed by the government in New Zealand.
That’s one reason why the Reserve Bank requires all banks to
make available easy-to-understand and up-to-date financial information
on their operations.
” ...
read the full article HERE
|
|
|
|
___________________________________________________
New Zealand Centre for
Political Research
PO Box 984
WHANGAREI
Ph: 09-434-3836, Fax: 09 434-4224, Mob: 021-800-111
muriel@nzcpr.com
www.nzcpr.com
To unsubscribe from the NZCPR mailing list, send
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