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Dr Roger
Bowden
Roger
Bowden is currently a visiting
research fellow in financial system design at Ulm University in
Germany. He is the former
Professor of Economics and Finance at
the Victoria University of Wellington.
Prior to returning to his native
New Zealand, he worked or researched at a number of offshore institutions,
including the universities of
Manchester
,
Western Australia
, and
New South Wales
as Professor of Finance. In addition Roger has been visiting
Professor of Economics at the universities of
California
at
Berkeley
and
British Columbia
; held a Humboldt Foundation Senior Research Award at
Bonn
University
; and visiting fellowships or appointments at the
Institute
of
Advanced Study
in
Vienna
, CEPREMAP in
Paris
, and the IBRD Development Research Department in
Washington
DC
. He holds the degrees of BA,
BSc
,
MA
(mathematics and econometrics,
Auckland
), PhD (economics,
Manchester
).
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Guest Forum
Opinion piece by Prof Roger Bowden
3
July 2010
The
foreshore smell has become deafening
Just in
case you hadn’t heard, it’s now official; under the
coalition Government’s proposed Foreshore and Seabed Act
Mark II, customary title is recognised as ownership. No longer
is ‘nobody is to own’ the foreshore and seabed, the way it
was sold in the consultation document. Instead,
iwi and hapu will have the right to claim a new form of
title , which will sit over and above the residual public
domain ‘in much the same way that fee simple title sits over
the Crown’s radical title to land’, in the words of the
Attorney General. From the economic point of view, that
amounts to ownership. I am sceptical that it can even be
reconciled with the weaker notion of public domain, which is
left as an undefined residual and as such, subject to constant
encroachment from activities and exclusions possible under the
new title. So much for the reassuring words about an undefined
‘public access’ right.
This is a
change of constitutional character. It advances by Crown
proclamation the economic interests of one specific group of
New Zealanders at the expense of the remainder. It is not
something required by any reading of the Treaty of Waitangi
unless you are one eyed enough to think that the original
‘estates’ of Maori were envisaged to encompass what
happens 12 miles out to sea. ‘Fisheries’ perhaps; but we
all thought compensation for any loss of exclusivity had
already been offered for that through the Sealord deal and the
quota allocation.
Constitutional
changes, official or unofficial, are not to be taken lightly.
To be sure, the present government has muddled enough on other
fronts, notably the emissions trading scheme, a good enough
idea in principle but an operational disaster in practice.
The difference is that the ETS can be suspended with a stroke
of the pen by whatever government succeeds the present one. It
does not take too much political or behavioural insight to
realise that Foreshore and Seabed Mark II will be
irreversible. That is why it is constitutional in character.
To be sure, so was the Seabed and Foreshore Mark I from the
previous Labour government. But that simply recognised a long
standing convention with well established legal precedent.
For make no
mistake, Mark II creates a valuable property right. It will
allow qualifying iwi or hapu to build marinas, fish and mussel
farms, or wave platforms for generating electricity, in
practice with little control or recourse on the part of local
authorities. Iwi business interests will be able to mine iron
sands, coltan, or whatever else is revealed in the fullness of
time. And it will endow iwi or hapu with a moral case for
access fees or cultural deprival compensation for the
nationalised minerals (gold, silver, uranium, and above all,
oil in prospective provinces like the East Cape). If that
doesn’t work, then under the proposed power of veto, they
can hold to effective ransom any party that does want to do
such things. Money
for jam. Or as an economist might put it, deadweight economic
rent.
That being
the case, there will arise a multitude of claimants, not just
a few, as Mr Key seems to think. A look at the Maori Land
Information Base suggests claims over most of the harbours and
associated coastline on the west coast, practically all of
East Cape, and strategically sited bits and pieces in some
popular places elsewhere.
The
proposed Act is silent as to what is to happen when
intervening land is held by non iwi. Even the basic geometry
is unresolved. Twelve miles offshore in which direction:
normal to the coastal tangent? A claim centred on the Mahia
peninsula could end up covering much of Hawkes Bay, similarly
for Coromandel. Even in places like Raglan, one can imagine a
good bit of pressure to submerge the interests of other New
Zealanders. All this, before one even starts to consider the
significance of removing the contiguous land requirement.
It’ll be a line up, just as it has been for the Waitangi
Tribunal. Delightfully profitable for the legal profession,
but immensely damaging for our nationhood.
Thus for Mr
Key to claim limited scope is just hand waving in the hope
that no one will notice: all too insouciant to be true. It’s
another Waitangi gravy train in the making, and as it runs its
course, rules will be bent. For one thing, NZ judicial
decisions have in recent years leaned towards judicial
activism at the expense of legal precedent. As a foreshadowed
piece of legislation, F&S Mark II will be crucially
incomplete, leaving much to be resolved in terms of common
rather than statutory law. Notions such as ‘exclusive use
and possession of the area’, for instance, do not stand up
to rigorous scrutiny. In practice, no part of the NZ coastline
satisfies such a requirement, tautologically so if it refers
to the foreshore and seabed itself, which has been in Crown
ownership. So once again, the rules will have to be bent, and
the bent ruler will be used to support the emergent common
law.
Alternatively,
the legislation will empower the Government of the day to
simply gift customary title, in which case there are no rules
for consistency and fairness to worry about at all. The
Government has talked in terms of ‘criteria’ for direct
government award of customary title, but is strangely
unwilling to write these into the proposed statute. The candy
will go to whoever can mount the noisiest hikoi, or help to
break a coalitional deadlock in parliament.
If all this
is starting to smell, one might reflect that foreshores are
often smelly places. It can also be quite toxic, as the
unfortunate residents of St Michel en Grève in France
discovered last year.
In that
respect, Seabed and Foreshore Mark II is going to transform a ‘weeping sore’, as Mr Key
likes to put it, to an open wound.
It’s that way already with many National Party voters
who put them into power on the legacy of Don Brash and the
Orewa speech, a courageous man vilified in the media for
saying something that needed to be said. In political life,
there is sometimes a fine line between leadership and
betrayal, but there is a line nonetheless. Stepping over that
line risks years in the wilderness. That is why the Government
is rushing things through ahead of the next election while the
official opposition is still adrift and effectively
leaderless.
But cometh
the hour, cometh the man. My money is on a resurgent Gandalf
style ‘Winston the White’, no longer ‘Winston the
Grey’. All he needs to do is change his party’s name from
‘New Zealand First’ to ‘One New Zealand’. He’ll be
kingmaker for years to come, even if their economic policy is
a few bricks short of a load. I’d go for Ricki Herbert,
myself. At least he seems to know what he’s doing.
Inherent problems of certification and liquidity were pointed
out in my 2008 book Economic
State of the Nation. It’s
only matter of time before even the European markets are hit
by fraud. Now that we are virtually on our own, the problems
have become overwhelming. The market will be hopelessly
dysfunctional.
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